Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Zhengzhou highs of 31–33°C on September 6 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions favoring strong daytime heating. These align with the market's 69.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of current model consensus and minimal precipitation risk. September climatology supports peaks near 28–30°C on average, yet persistent clear conditions and temperatures already near 32°C on September 5 have elevated expectations. A cooler front arrives September 8, tightening the window for confirmation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 6?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 6?
32°C or higher 70%
31°C 42%
29°C 17%
30°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
17%
30°C
5%
31°C
28%
32°C or higher
70%
32°C or higher 70%
31°C 42%
29°C 17%
30°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$110 Vol.
5%
31°C
$101 Vol.
28%
32°C or higher
$124 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Zhengzhou highs of 31–33°C on September 6 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions favoring strong daytime heating. These align with the market's 69.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of current model consensus and minimal precipitation risk. September climatology supports peaks near 28–30°C on average, yet persistent clear conditions and temperatures already near 32°C on September 5 have elevated expectations. A cooler front arrives September 8, tightening the window for confirmation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$694End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Zhengzhou highs of 31–33°C on September 6 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions favoring strong daytime heating. These align with the market's 69.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of current model consensus and minimal precipitation risk. September climatology supports peaks near 28–30°C on average, yet persistent clear conditions and temperatures already near 32°C on September 5 have elevated expectations. A cooler front arrives September 8, tightening the window for confirmation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$694End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Zhengzhou highs of 31–33°C on September 6 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions favoring strong daytime heating. These align with the market's 69.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of current model consensus and minimal precipitation risk. September climatology supports peaks near 28–30°C on average, yet persistent clear conditions and temperatures already near 32°C on September 5 have elevated expectations. A cooler front arrives September 8, tightening the window for confirmation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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