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Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

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Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

$393,748 Vol.

Apr 12, 2026
Polymarket

$393,748 Vol.

Polymarket
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? icon

Mi Hazánk

$294,289 Vol.

99%

Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? icon

DK

$68,872 Vol.

<1%

Will Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt) (MKKP) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? icon

MKKP

$30,588 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).**Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12, 2026, delivered decisive results that will determine National Assembly representation, with parties needing 5% of the national list vote to enter the 199-seat chamber.** Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party captured a supermajority of approximately 138 seats on 53% of the vote amid record 78% turnout—the highest in modern history—ending Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance's 16-year dominance with 54 seats on 38%. Nationalist Mi Hazánk crossed the threshold at 6% for 7 seats, while left-leaning Democratic Coalition (DK) and satirical Everybody's Party (MKKP) stayed below 3%, excluded from parliament. Orbán conceded promptly; official certification by the National Election Office remains the final step for market resolution, amid coalition-free Tisza majority positioning for swift government formation.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$393,748
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).**Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12, 2026, delivered decisive results that will determine National Assembly representation, with parties needing 5% of the national list vote to enter the 199-seat chamber.** Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party captured a supermajority of approximately 138 seats on 53% of the vote amid record 78% turnout—the highest in modern history—ending Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance's 16-year dominance with 54 seats on 38%. Nationalist Mi Hazánk crossed the threshold at 6% for 7 seats, while left-leaning Democratic Coalition (DK) and satirical Everybody's Party (MKKP) stayed below 3%, excluded from parliament. Orbán conceded promptly; official certification by the National Election Office remains the final step for market resolution, amid coalition-free Tisza majority positioning for swift government formation.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$393,748
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mi Hazánk" at 99%, followed by "DK" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" has generated $393.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" is "Mi Hazánk" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "DK" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.