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District predictions & odds

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Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

97%

Pass 3-6%

$546K Vol.

$50.4K Liq.

63

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

97%

Hakeem Jeffries

$5.6K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

77%

Thomas Massie

$498K Vol.

$79.3K Liq.

35

Ends in 15 days

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

35%

$226K Vol.

$77.9K Liq.

29

Ends in 8 months

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

12%

$40.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

97%

Reform

$182K Vol.

$160K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 days

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

94%

Texas

$5.0K Vol.

$544K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

89%

$6.9K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

2

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

92%

600+

$17.3K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

77%

1600+

$18.7K Vol.

$46.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 days

GA-04 House Election Winner

GA-04 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$15.9K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OH-12 House Election Winner

OH-12 House Election Winner

89%

Republican Party

$3.6K Vol.

$29.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

WY-AL House Election Winner

WY-AL House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$23.1K Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

89%

500+

$6.9K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?

14%

$2.3K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

89%

300+

$25.3K Vol.

$54.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

IL-06 House Election Winner

IL-06 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$24.9K Vol.

$32.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

93%

300+

$3.9K Vol.

$35.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

CA-51 House Election Winner

CA-51 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$8.0K Vol.

$38.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

96%

Brian Poindexter

$14.7K Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 1123 active markets for District that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to Pass 3-6%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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