Trader consensus favors Reform UK at 44% to secure the most seats in England's May 7 local elections across 136 councils and all London boroughs, narrowly ahead of Labour (42%) and Conservatives (40.5%), reflecting tight national vote projections where Reform leads polls at around 30% versus Labour's 19-20% and Conservatives' 19%. Recent More in Common and Electoral Calculus surveys show Reform's surge fueled by working-class discontent over Labour's Spring Statement economic forecasts and immigration policy, alongside Conservative fragmentation, keeping the race contested in first-past-the-post wards. Liberal Democrats and Greens trail at 26% amid vote splitting. Final campaigning, turnout in battleground councils like Essex and Kent, or pre-election by-elections could tip balances before resolution on national seat totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner
2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner
Reform 45%
Labour 42%
Conservative 39%
Liberal Democrats 27%
NEW
NEW
May 7, 2026
Reform
45%
Labour
42%
Conservative
39%
Liberal Democrats
27%
Green
27%
Reform 45%
Labour 42%
Conservative 39%
Liberal Democrats 27%
NEW
NEW
May 7, 2026
Reform
$0 Vol.
45%
Labour
$0 Vol.
42%
Conservative
$0 Vol.
39%
Liberal Democrats
$0 Vol.
27%
Green
$0 Vol.
27%
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Trader consensus favors Reform UK at 44% to secure the most seats in England's May 7 local elections across 136 councils and all London boroughs, narrowly ahead of Labour (42%) and Conservatives (40.5%), reflecting tight national vote projections where Reform leads polls at around 30% versus Labour's 19-20% and Conservatives' 19%. Recent More in Common and Electoral Calculus surveys show Reform's surge fueled by working-class discontent over Labour's Spring Statement economic forecasts and immigration policy, alongside Conservative fragmentation, keeping the race contested in first-past-the-post wards. Liberal Democrats and Greens trail at 26% amid vote splitting. Final campaigning, turnout in battleground councils like Essex and Kent, or pre-election by-elections could tip balances before resolution on national seat totals.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Trader consensus favors Reform UK at 44% to secure the most seats in England's May 7 local elections across 136 councils and all London boroughs, narrowly ahead of Labour (42%) and Conservatives (40.5%), reflecting tight national vote projections where Reform leads polls at around 30% versus Labour's 19-20% and Conservatives' 19%. Recent More in Common and Electoral Calculus surveys show Reform's surge fueled by working-class discontent over Labour's Spring Statement economic forecasts and immigration policy, alongside Conservative fragmentation, keeping the race contested in first-past-the-post wards. Liberal Democrats and Greens trail at 26% amid vote splitting. Final campaigning, turnout in battleground councils like Essex and Kent, or pre-election by-elections could tip balances before resolution on national seat totals.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volume
$0End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Reform UK at 44% to secure the most seats in England's May 7 local elections across 136 councils and all London boroughs, narrowly ahead of Labour (42%) and Conservatives (40.5%), reflecting tight national vote projections where Reform leads polls at around 30% versus Labour's 19-20% and Conservatives' 19%. Recent More in Common and Electoral Calculus surveys show Reform's surge fueled by working-class discontent over Labour's Spring Statement economic forecasts and immigration policy, alongside Conservative fragmentation, keeping the race contested in first-past-the-post wards. Liberal Democrats and Greens trail at 26% amid vote splitting. Final campaigning, turnout in battleground councils like Essex and Kent, or pre-election by-elections could tip balances before resolution on national seat totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
53%
Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
42%
Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
52%
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