Recent polling aggregates for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election under the MMP system show National and Labour competing for the top two spots near 30 percent each, leaving New Zealand First and the Green Party as the primary contenders for third place. New Zealand First has maintained consistent support in the 8-11 percent range across multiple surveys, bolstered by its established voter base and past surges close to election cycles, while the Greens hover around 9-13 percent amid fluctuating environmental and progressive turnout. ACT New Zealand trails further back, and smaller parties such as Te Pāti Māori remain marginal in national vote share. Traders appear to assign higher probability to New Zealand First finishing ahead due to these patterns and the party’s demonstrated ability to consolidate support in the final months, though tight recent results between the two main minor parties introduce notable uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.5%
National Party 1.2%
$13,332 Vol.
$13,332 Vol.
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
53%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.5%
National Party 1.2%
$13,332 Vol.
$13,332 Vol.
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
$5,016 Vol.
53%
Green Party
$5,360 Vol.
37%
ACT New Zealand
$702 Vol.
2%
National Party
$415 Vol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election under the MMP system show National and Labour competing for the top two spots near 30 percent each, leaving New Zealand First and the Green Party as the primary contenders for third place. New Zealand First has maintained consistent support in the 8-11 percent range across multiple surveys, bolstered by its established voter base and past surges close to election cycles, while the Greens hover around 9-13 percent amid fluctuating environmental and progressive turnout. ACT New Zealand trails further back, and smaller parties such as Te Pāti Māori remain marginal in national vote share. Traders appear to assign higher probability to New Zealand First finishing ahead due to these patterns and the party’s demonstrated ability to consolidate support in the final months, though tight recent results between the two main minor parties introduce notable uncertainty.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$13,332End Date
Nov 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election under the MMP system show National and Labour competing for the top two spots near 30 percent each, leaving New Zealand First and the Green Party as the primary contenders for third place. New Zealand First has maintained consistent support in the 8-11 percent range across multiple surveys, bolstered by its established voter base and past surges close to election cycles, while the Greens hover around 9-13 percent amid fluctuating environmental and progressive turnout. ACT New Zealand trails further back, and smaller parties such as Te Pāti Māori remain marginal in national vote share. Traders appear to assign higher probability to New Zealand First finishing ahead due to these patterns and the party’s demonstrated ability to consolidate support in the final months, though tight recent results between the two main minor parties introduce notable uncertainty.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$13,332End Date
Nov 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election under the MMP system show National and Labour competing for the top two spots near 30 percent each, leaving New Zealand First and the Green Party as the primary contenders for third place. New Zealand First has maintained consistent support in the 8-11 percent range across multiple surveys, bolstered by its established voter base and past surges close to election cycles, while the Greens hover around 9-13 percent amid fluctuating environmental and progressive turnout. ACT New Zealand trails further back, and smaller parties such as Te Pāti Māori remain marginal in national vote share. Traders appear to assign higher probability to New Zealand First finishing ahead due to these patterns and the party’s demonstrated ability to consolidate support in the final months, though tight recent results between the two main minor parties introduce notable uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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