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United States predictions & odds

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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

37%

J.D. Vance

$612M Vol.

$2M today

$28M Liq.

387

Ends in over 2 years

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$59M Liq.

726

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$575M Vol.

$974K today

$29M Liq.

906

Ends in over 2 years

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

79%

Democratic Party

$6M Vol.

$109K today

$675K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

45%

Democrats Sweep

$6M Vol.

$54.1K today

$555K Liq.

173

Ends in 6 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$269K Liq.

7

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

55%

Republican Party

$2M Vol.

$277K Liq.

44

Ends in 6 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

25%

Below 190

$226K Vol.

$194K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Newark Mayoral Election

Newark Mayoral Election

98%

Ras Baraka

$24.1K Vol.

$53.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

22–23

$666K Vol.

$89.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

35%

$8.0K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

23%

Steve Bannon

$6.8K Vol.

$276K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

81%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$397K Vol.

$35.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

80%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$322K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

12

Ends in 6 months

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

18%

James Talarico

$12.5K Vol.

$349K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 15 active markets for United States that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “California voter ID referendum passes?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on United States predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.