President Trump's repeated public statements and social media maps in 2026 proposing U.S. control over Greenland, Canada, and other areas have generated discussion around territorial expansion, yet no annexation has taken place. Strong diplomatic resistance from Denmark, Canada, Mexico, and European allies, combined with domestic polling showing majority opposition to military options and concerns over NATO obligations, have constrained any formal action. Congressional proposals like the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act remain unadvanced, while international norms against forcible territorial changes and lack of consent from target populations continue to limit feasibility. Traders assign the 94.8% "No" probability based on these structural barriers, though late-year escalations in ongoing disputes or unexpected bilateral deals could still shift outcomes before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5% chance
$156,786 Vol.
$156,786 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
5% chance
$156,786 Vol.
$156,786 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's repeated public statements and social media maps in 2026 proposing U.S. control over Greenland, Canada, and other areas have generated discussion around territorial expansion, yet no annexation has taken place. Strong diplomatic resistance from Denmark, Canada, Mexico, and European allies, combined with domestic polling showing majority opposition to military options and concerns over NATO obligations, have constrained any formal action. Congressional proposals like the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act remain unadvanced, while international norms against forcible territorial changes and lack of consent from target populations continue to limit feasibility. Traders assign the 94.8% "No" probability based on these structural barriers, though late-year escalations in ongoing disputes or unexpected bilateral deals could still shift outcomes before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$156,786End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's repeated public statements and social media maps in 2026 proposing U.S. control over Greenland, Canada, and other areas have generated discussion around territorial expansion, yet no annexation has taken place. Strong diplomatic resistance from Denmark, Canada, Mexico, and European allies, combined with domestic polling showing majority opposition to military options and concerns over NATO obligations, have constrained any formal action. Congressional proposals like the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act remain unadvanced, while international norms against forcible territorial changes and lack of consent from target populations continue to limit feasibility. Traders assign the 94.8% "No" probability based on these structural barriers, though late-year escalations in ongoing disputes or unexpected bilateral deals could still shift outcomes before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$156,786End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's repeated public statements and social media maps in 2026 proposing U.S. control over Greenland, Canada, and other areas have generated discussion around territorial expansion, yet no annexation has taken place. Strong diplomatic resistance from Denmark, Canada, Mexico, and European allies, combined with domestic polling showing majority opposition to military options and concerns over NATO obligations, have constrained any formal action. Congressional proposals like the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act remain unadvanced, while international norms against forcible territorial changes and lack of consent from target populations continue to limit feasibility. Traders assign the 94.8% "No" probability based on these structural barriers, though late-year escalations in ongoing disputes or unexpected bilateral deals could still shift outcomes before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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