Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum asks voters whether the province should begin the constitutional process for a future binding independence vote, not whether to secede outright. Recent Angus Reid and Ipsos polling shows 60 percent or more of Albertans favor remaining in Canada on the official question, with support for proceeding to separation as low as 19–35 percent. Premier Danielle Smith added the item in May 2026 after a citizen-initiative petition cleared signature thresholds, yet public backing for separatism has not risen meaningfully despite grievances over federal energy and constitutional policy. Multiple surveys confirm the gap has widened since early 2026, and even a narrow “yes” would trigger lengthy legal and negotiation hurdles before any actual exit. Traders therefore assign high probability to rejection of the process question.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$192,295 Объем
$192,295 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$192,295 Объем
$192,295 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum asks voters whether the province should begin the constitutional process for a future binding independence vote, not whether to secede outright. Recent Angus Reid and Ipsos polling shows 60 percent or more of Albertans favor remaining in Canada on the official question, with support for proceeding to separation as low as 19–35 percent. Premier Danielle Smith added the item in May 2026 after a citizen-initiative petition cleared signature thresholds, yet public backing for separatism has not risen meaningfully despite grievances over federal energy and constitutional policy. Multiple surveys confirm the gap has widened since early 2026, and even a narrow “yes” would trigger lengthy legal and negotiation hurdles before any actual exit. Traders therefore assign high probability to rejection of the process question.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Объем
$192,295Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum asks voters whether the province should begin the constitutional process for a future binding independence vote, not whether to secede outright. Recent Angus Reid and Ipsos polling shows 60 percent or more of Albertans favor remaining in Canada on the official question, with support for proceeding to separation as low as 19–35 percent. Premier Danielle Smith added the item in May 2026 after a citizen-initiative petition cleared signature thresholds, yet public backing for separatism has not risen meaningfully despite grievances over federal energy and constitutional policy. Multiple surveys confirm the gap has widened since early 2026, and even a narrow “yes” would trigger lengthy legal and negotiation hurdles before any actual exit. Traders therefore assign high probability to rejection of the process question.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$192,295Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum asks voters whether the province should begin the constitutional process for a future binding independence vote, not whether to secede outright. Recent Angus Reid and Ipsos polling shows 60 percent or more of Albertans favor remaining in Canada on the official question, with support for proceeding to separation as low as 19–35 percent. Premier Danielle Smith added the item in May 2026 after a citizen-initiative petition cleared signature thresholds, yet public backing for separatism has not risen meaningfully despite grievances over federal energy and constitutional policy. Multiple surveys confirm the gap has widened since early 2026, and even a narrow “yes” would trigger lengthy legal and negotiation hurdles before any actual exit. Traders therefore assign high probability to rejection of the process question.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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