Recent polling from Ipsos and Angus Reid shows consistent majority opposition to advancing Alberta separation, with 60-72% favoring remaining in Canada on the October 19, 2026 referendum question and only 19-35% supporting the process for a binding independence vote. Support for proceeding has declined sharply from January levels near 28%. Premier Danielle Smith, who does not back independence, scheduled the vote following citizen petitions that gathered over 300,000 signatures, though legal challenges from First Nations over treaty rights and consultation have delayed verification. These factors, alongside the two-step referendum structure requiring further steps for actual separation, underpin trader consensus against an affirmative independence outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$197,355 交易量
$197,355 交易量
是
$197,355 交易量
$197,355 交易量
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling from Ipsos and Angus Reid shows consistent majority opposition to advancing Alberta separation, with 60-72% favoring remaining in Canada on the October 19, 2026 referendum question and only 19-35% supporting the process for a binding independence vote. Support for proceeding has declined sharply from January levels near 28%. Premier Danielle Smith, who does not back independence, scheduled the vote following citizen petitions that gathered over 300,000 signatures, though legal challenges from First Nations over treaty rights and consultation have delayed verification. These factors, alongside the two-step referendum structure requiring further steps for actual separation, underpin trader consensus against an affirmative independence outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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