Wyoming's at-large House seat remains a strongly Republican domain in the 2026 cycle, with the party's nominee holding a commanding implied probability near 96 percent. Incumbent Harriet Hageman opted to pursue the U.S. Senate seat rather than seek a third House term, opening the race to a crowded Republican primary scheduled for August 18. Multiple forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic organizational presence. Democratic primary contenders face structural barriers including low crossover support and minimal statewide infrastructure. A fragmented Republican primary could produce a nominee facing elevated general-election scrutiny on November 3, while broader national turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre WY-AL
$31,580 Vol.
$31,580 Vol.
Parti républicain
96%
Parti démocrate
4%
$31,580 Vol.
$31,580 Vol.
Parti républicain
96%
Parti démocrate
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's at-large House seat remains a strongly Republican domain in the 2026 cycle, with the party's nominee holding a commanding implied probability near 96 percent. Incumbent Harriet Hageman opted to pursue the U.S. Senate seat rather than seek a third House term, opening the race to a crowded Republican primary scheduled for August 18. Multiple forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic organizational presence. Democratic primary contenders face structural barriers including low crossover support and minimal statewide infrastructure. A fragmented Republican primary could produce a nominee facing elevated general-election scrutiny on November 3, while broader national turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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