Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, with the 2026 race rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters following incumbent Harriet Hageman's decision to run for Senate. The state's strong partisan lean, reflected in recent election margins exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus around a GOP victory in the November general election. Multiple candidates have filed for the August Republican primary, including figures with prior elected experience, while Democratic contenders face structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Late developments such as primary consolidation around a frontrunner or external national shifts could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's consistent voting patterns limit realistic paths for a Democratic upset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Casa WY-AL
Vencedor da eleição da Casa WY-AL
$31,580 Vol.
$31,580 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
97%
Democratic Party
4%
$31,580 Vol.
$31,580 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$16,783 Vol.
97%
Democratic Party
$14,798 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, with the 2026 race rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters following incumbent Harriet Hageman's decision to run for Senate. The state's strong partisan lean, reflected in recent election margins exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus around a GOP victory in the November general election. Multiple candidates have filed for the August Republican primary, including figures with prior elected experience, while Democratic contenders face structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Late developments such as primary consolidation around a frontrunner or external national shifts could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's consistent voting patterns limit realistic paths for a Democratic upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$31,580Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, with the 2026 race rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters following incumbent Harriet Hageman's decision to run for Senate. The state's strong partisan lean, reflected in recent election margins exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus around a GOP victory in the November general election. Multiple candidates have filed for the August Republican primary, including figures with prior elected experience, while Democratic contenders face structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Late developments such as primary consolidation around a frontrunner or external national shifts could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's consistent voting patterns limit realistic paths for a Democratic upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,580Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, with the 2026 race rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters following incumbent Harriet Hageman's decision to run for Senate. The state's strong partisan lean, reflected in recent election margins exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus around a GOP victory in the November general election. Multiple candidates have filed for the August Republican primary, including figures with prior elected experience, while Democratic contenders face structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Late developments such as primary consolidation around a frontrunner or external national shifts could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's consistent voting patterns limit realistic paths for a Democratic upset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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