North Dakota’s at-large House district has long favored Republican candidates due to the state’s partisan composition and voting history. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 73 percent of the vote, setting up a rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic fundraising, the absence of recent competitive polling, and structural advantages for the GOP nominee. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established electoral math and incumbency edge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, or an unusually strong national Democratic environment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$59,585 Vol.
$59,585 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$59,585 Vol.
$59,585 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$42,792 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$16,793 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large House district has long favored Republican candidates due to the state’s partisan composition and voting history. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 73 percent of the vote, setting up a rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic fundraising, the absence of recent competitive polling, and structural advantages for the GOP nominee. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established electoral math and incumbency edge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, or an unusually strong national Democratic environment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$59,585End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large House district has long favored Republican candidates due to the state’s partisan composition and voting history. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 73 percent of the vote, setting up a rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic fundraising, the absence of recent competitive polling, and structural advantages for the GOP nominee. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established electoral math and incumbency edge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, or an unusually strong national Democratic environment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$59,585End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota’s at-large House district has long favored Republican candidates due to the state’s partisan composition and voting history. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 73 percent of the vote, setting up a rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic fundraising, the absence of recent competitive polling, and structural advantages for the GOP nominee. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established electoral math and incumbency edge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, or an unusually strong national Democratic environment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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