North Dakota’s at-large House seat remains firmly in Republican hands due to the state’s consistent partisan lean, the incumbent Julie Fedorchak’s strong 2024 performance, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting voter registration advantages and historical margins exceeding 30 points. With primaries still months away and no major Democratic challenger yet drawing significant support, trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural fundamentals. A late surge in national Democratic turnout or an unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability shifts before November 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$38,274 Vol.
$38,274 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$38,274 Vol.
$38,274 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$22,784 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$15,490 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large House seat remains firmly in Republican hands due to the state’s consistent partisan lean, the incumbent Julie Fedorchak’s strong 2024 performance, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting voter registration advantages and historical margins exceeding 30 points. With primaries still months away and no major Democratic challenger yet drawing significant support, trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural fundamentals. A late surge in national Democratic turnout or an unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability shifts before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$38,274End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large House seat remains firmly in Republican hands due to the state’s consistent partisan lean, the incumbent Julie Fedorchak’s strong 2024 performance, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting voter registration advantages and historical margins exceeding 30 points. With primaries still months away and no major Democratic challenger yet drawing significant support, trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural fundamentals. A late surge in national Democratic turnout or an unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability shifts before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,274End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota’s at-large House seat remains firmly in Republican hands due to the state’s consistent partisan lean, the incumbent Julie Fedorchak’s strong 2024 performance, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting voter registration advantages and historical margins exceeding 30 points. With primaries still months away and no major Democratic challenger yet drawing significant support, trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural fundamentals. A late surge in national Democratic turnout or an unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability shifts before November 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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