Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader, maintains an official X account (@MKhamenei_ir) that issues formal statements and appointment announcements rather than frequent updates. As of mid-August 2026, activity has remained limited to occasional clusters tied to military leadership changes and commemorative messaging following the earlier transition after his father's death, with no posts in the preceding two weeks. Trader consensus favoring under five posts in the August 28–September 4 window reflects this established pattern of restrained, event-driven communication amid ongoing regional tensions and internal consolidation. Scheduled developments such as routine ceremonies or security appointments could prompt additional statements, though historical spacing between major releases supports the current implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?
<5 75%
5-9 21%
15-19 16%
10-14 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
<5
75%
5-9
21%
10-14
16%
15-19
16%
20-24
14%
25-29
12%
30-34
12%
35-39
3%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 75%
5-9 21%
15-19 16%
10-14 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
<5
$70 Vol.
75%
5-9
$0 Vol.
21%
10-14
$0 Vol.
16%
15-19
$0 Vol.
16%
20-24
$0 Vol.
14%
25-29
$0 Vol.
12%
30-34
$0 Vol.
12%
35-39
$5 Vol.
3%
40-44
$5 Vol.
1%
45-49
$5 Vol.
1%
50-54
$5 Vol.
1%
55-59
$5 Vol.
1%
60+
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader, maintains an official X account (@MKhamenei_ir) that issues formal statements and appointment announcements rather than frequent updates. As of mid-August 2026, activity has remained limited to occasional clusters tied to military leadership changes and commemorative messaging following the earlier transition after his father's death, with no posts in the preceding two weeks. Trader consensus favoring under five posts in the August 28–September 4 window reflects this established pattern of restrained, event-driven communication amid ongoing regional tensions and internal consolidation. Scheduled developments such as routine ceremonies or security appointments could prompt additional statements, though historical spacing between major releases supports the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$100End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader, maintains an official X account (@MKhamenei_ir) that issues formal statements and appointment announcements rather than frequent updates. As of mid-August 2026, activity has remained limited to occasional clusters tied to military leadership changes and commemorative messaging following the earlier transition after his father's death, with no posts in the preceding two weeks. Trader consensus favoring under five posts in the August 28–September 4 window reflects this established pattern of restrained, event-driven communication amid ongoing regional tensions and internal consolidation. Scheduled developments such as routine ceremonies or security appointments could prompt additional statements, though historical spacing between major releases supports the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$100End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader, maintains an official X account (@MKhamenei_ir) that issues formal statements and appointment announcements rather than frequent updates. As of mid-August 2026, activity has remained limited to occasional clusters tied to military leadership changes and commemorative messaging following the earlier transition after his father's death, with no posts in the preceding two weeks. Trader consensus favoring under five posts in the August 28–September 4 window reflects this established pattern of restrained, event-driven communication amid ongoing regional tensions and internal consolidation. Scheduled developments such as routine ceremonies or security appointments could prompt additional statements, though historical spacing between major releases supports the current implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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