Official Iranian leadership accounts, including those associated with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and archival statements from his predecessor, have followed a consistent pattern of low-volume output focused on occasional reposts of older material, religious observances, or targeted announcements such as the August 10 military appointments. No acute escalations, major policy deadlines, or high-profile events fall within the August 18-25 window that would prompt increased activity. Trader positioning at 58% for under five posts reflects this established cadence, with the 29% band for 5-9 posts accounting for the possibility of routine commemorative or administrative updates. The distribution beyond 10 posts remains thin, consistent with historical posting rates outside periods of heightened regional tension.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
<5 58%
5-9 29%
10-14 11%
15-19 4.4%
<5
58%
5-9
29%
10-14
11%
15-19
4%
20-24
1%
25-29
3%
30-34
3%
35-39
3%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 58%
5-9 29%
10-14 11%
15-19 4.4%
<5
58%
5-9
29%
10-14
11%
15-19
4%
20-24
1%
25-29
3%
30-34
3%
35-39
3%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Iranian leadership accounts, including those associated with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and archival statements from his predecessor, have followed a consistent pattern of low-volume output focused on occasional reposts of older material, religious observances, or targeted announcements such as the August 10 military appointments. No acute escalations, major policy deadlines, or high-profile events fall within the August 18-25 window that would prompt increased activity. Trader positioning at 58% for under five posts reflects this established cadence, with the 29% band for 5-9 posts accounting for the possibility of routine commemorative or administrative updates. The distribution beyond 10 posts remains thin, consistent with historical posting rates outside periods of heightened regional tension.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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