**The @khamenei_ir account, which shares archival quotes and statements from the late Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern typical of official Iranian leadership channels.** Traders price <5 posts for the August 14–21 window at 73% because the account rarely exceeds a handful of entries per week outside major religious commemorations or crises. Recent activity shows just two posts in the prior similar period (mid-August), consistent with its established rhythm of reposting historical material rather than generating frequent new content. The 5–9 bucket at 22.5% accounts for the possibility of modest increases tied to ongoing regional developments or scheduled observances, while buckets above 10 remain under 5% combined due to the absence of triggers for accelerated output. No major anniversaries, official statements, or escalations have prompted a surge in the first days of the window. Resolution depends strictly on the count of original posts from the account between the specified dates.