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icon for LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

icon for LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

Nithya Raman 100.0%

Spencer Pratt <1%

Karen Bass <1%

Rick Caruso <1%

Polymarket

$860,570 Vol.

Nithya Raman 100.0%

Spencer Pratt <1%

Karen Bass <1%

Rick Caruso <1%

Polymarket

$860,570 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$109,299 Vol.

No

icon for Rick Caruso

Rick Caruso

$2,962 Vol.

No

icon for Asaad Alnajjar

Asaad Alnajjar

$3,125 Vol.

No

icon for Gina Viola

Gina Viola

$5,167 Vol.

No

icon for Spencer Pratt

Spencer Pratt

$305,375 Vol.

No

icon for Austin Beutner

Austin Beutner

$4,227 Vol.

No

icon for Lindsey Horvath

Lindsey Horvath

$3,287 Vol.

No

icon for Monica Rodriguez

Monica Rodriguez

$2,338 Vol.

No

icon for Rae Huang

Rae Huang

$2,823 Vol.

No

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$419,435 Vol.

Yes

icon for Adam Miller

Adam Miller

$2,533 Vol.

No

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass leads the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor while City Councilmember Nithya Raman has secured second place after overtaking Spencer Pratt in ongoing mail-ballot counts. With over 90 percent of votes tabulated, official projections from multiple outlets confirm Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Raman's late surge in remaining ballots, driven by stronger performance among progressive and Democratic-leaning voters, established the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Late-arriving ballots or an unforeseen recount could theoretically alter the exact ordering, though historical patterns in California municipal elections make such reversals improbable at this stage of tabulation.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$860,570
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass leads the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor while City Councilmember Nithya Raman has secured second place after overtaking Spencer Pratt in ongoing mail-ballot counts. With over 90 percent of votes tabulated, official projections from multiple outlets confirm Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Raman's late surge in remaining ballots, driven by stronger performance among progressive and Democratic-leaning voters, established the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Late-arriving ballots or an unforeseen recount could theoretically alter the exact ordering, though historical patterns in California municipal elections make such reversals improbable at this stage of tabulation.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$860,570
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nithya Raman" con 100%, seguido de "Karen Bass" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?" ha generado $860.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 14, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?" es "Nithya Raman" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Karen Bass" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.