Trader consensus heavily favors Labour's Amanda De Ryk at 72.5% implied probability to win the Lewisham mayoral election on May 7, reflecting the party's unbroken dominance since the role's creation in 2002 under first-past-the-post voting, bolstered by her cabinet experience managing a £1 billion budget and strong internal selection in January following incumbent Brenda Dacres' House of Lords appointment. Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava trails at 20%, buoyed by recent Labour defections expanding Greens to four council seats and positioning him as opposition leader in this left-leaning borough with low historical turnout around 35%. Final candidate lists confirmed this week show no major shifts, with others like Reform UK's Peter Newman at 4.5% facing structural barriers absent polls or endorsements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAmanda De Ryk 77%
Liam Shrivastava 18%
Kayode Damali 3.0%
Roger Mighton 3.0%

Amanda De Ryk
77%

Liam Shrivastava
18%

Kayode Damali
3%

Roger Mighton
3%

Sylbourne Sydial
2%

Jay Coward
1%

Josh Matthews
1%

Peter Newman
<1%
Amanda De Ryk 77%
Liam Shrivastava 18%
Kayode Damali 3.0%
Roger Mighton 3.0%

Amanda De Ryk
77%

Liam Shrivastava
18%

Kayode Damali
3%

Roger Mighton
3%

Sylbourne Sydial
2%

Jay Coward
1%

Josh Matthews
1%

Peter Newman
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Labour's Amanda De Ryk at 72.5% implied probability to win the Lewisham mayoral election on May 7, reflecting the party's unbroken dominance since the role's creation in 2002 under first-past-the-post voting, bolstered by her cabinet experience managing a £1 billion budget and strong internal selection in January following incumbent Brenda Dacres' House of Lords appointment. Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava trails at 20%, buoyed by recent Labour defections expanding Greens to four council seats and positioning him as opposition leader in this left-leaning borough with low historical turnout around 35%. Final candidate lists confirmed this week show no major shifts, with others like Reform UK's Peter Newman at 4.5% facing structural barriers absent polls or endorsements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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