Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor faces an active UK police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to his former role as trade envoy and Epstein-related document disclosures, but he has not been charged with any crime as of mid-2026. The February arrest resulted in release under investigation, with Thames Valley Police confirming ongoing witness interviews and no indictments. UK precedents show misconduct cases rarely reach swift convictions, and maximum penalties are seldom applied in comparable matters. With the market resolving by December 31, 2026, the absence of formal charges or trial proceedings underpins trader consensus that sentencing remains improbable within the window. No US criminal actions are pending.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$212,856 Vol.
$212,856 Vol.
$212,856 Vol.
$212,856 Vol.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor faces an active UK police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to his former role as trade envoy and Epstein-related document disclosures, but he has not been charged with any crime as of mid-2026. The February arrest resulted in release under investigation, with Thames Valley Police confirming ongoing witness interviews and no indictments. UK precedents show misconduct cases rarely reach swift convictions, and maximum penalties are seldom applied in comparable matters. With the market resolving by December 31, 2026, the absence of formal charges or trial proceedings underpins trader consensus that sentencing remains improbable within the window. No US criminal actions are pending.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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