Official records, including the 2019 autopsy and death certificate from the New York City medical examiner, established Jeffrey Epstein's death in federal custody as a suicide, with no subsequent verified sightings, DNA matches, or institutional announcements contradicting that determination. Multiple federal investigations and court proceedings have proceeded on the basis of his confirmed passing, reinforcing trader consensus that the probability of any credible confirmation of his survival before 2027 remains low. The absence of new primary-source evidence over the past several years has further anchored this assessment. Late developments such as an authenticated public appearance, forensic re-examination, or official retraction by authorities could still shift the implied probability, though such events lack supporting indicators at present.