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icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Isabelle Blais 49%

Simon Allaire 49%

Nancy Mignault 26%

Marc-André Cloutier 25%

Polymarket
NEW

Isabelle Blais 49%

Simon Allaire 49%

Nancy Mignault 26%

Marc-André Cloutier 25%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Isabelle Blais

Isabelle Blais

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Simon Allaire

Simon Allaire

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Nancy Mignault

Nancy Mignault

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Marc-André Cloutier

Marc-André Cloutier

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Simon Piotte

Simon Piotte

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Maskinongé race reflects the August 27 launch of the October 5 Quebec general election campaign, pitting incumbent CAQ MNA Simon Allaire—who reversed an earlier retirement decision—against PQ candidate Isabelle Blais, a high-profile actress who secured her nomination with 63% support in April. Recent projections from sources like Qc125 show the CAQ holding a modest lead on 2022 results of 53.5%, yet trader pricing around 50-51% for the top two underscores vote-splitting risks from PLQ’s Nancy Mignault, QS’s Simon Piotte, PCQ’s Marc-André Cloutier, and an independent. Key separation factors include upcoming local debates, regional Mauricie economic concerns, provincial party momentum under new CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette, and any shifts in early voting turnout between September 27-28.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Maskinongé race reflects the August 27 launch of the October 5 Quebec general election campaign, pitting incumbent CAQ MNA Simon Allaire—who reversed an earlier retirement decision—against PQ candidate Isabelle Blais, a high-profile actress who secured her nomination with 63% support in April. Recent projections from sources like Qc125 show the CAQ holding a modest lead on 2022 results of 53.5%, yet trader pricing around 50-51% for the top two underscores vote-splitting risks from PLQ’s Nancy Mignault, QS’s Simon Piotte, PCQ’s Marc-André Cloutier, and an independent. Key separation factors include upcoming local debates, regional Mauricie economic concerns, provincial party momentum under new CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette, and any shifts in early voting turnout between September 27-28.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Isabelle Blais" at 50%, followed by "Simon Allaire" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Isabelle Blais" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Simon Allaire" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.