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icon for Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·Quebec Elections

Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·Quebec Elections

Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Sébastien Schneeberger 43%

Myriam Cournoyer 42%

Charles Page 41%

Polymarket
NEW

Sébastien Schneeberger 43%

Myriam Cournoyer 42%

Charles Page 41%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Sébastien Schneeberger

Sébastien Schneeberger

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Myriam Cournoyer

Myriam Cournoyer

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Charles Page

Charles Page

$0 Vol.

41%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Drummond–Bois-Francs race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election because recent provincial polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec trading narrow leads in the Centre-du-Québec region amid boundary adjustments and incomplete candidate slates. Incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger (CAQ) faces Charles Page (PQ), confirmed in late August, and Myriam Cournoyer (Parti conservateur du Québec), with nomination deadlines not closing until mid-September and limited Liberal or Québec solidaire entries so far. Trader consensus at roughly even odds across multiple contenders reflects high uncertainty over vote splitting, turnout patterns, and whether national trends favoring sovereignty-focused messaging or incumbent experience will consolidate support before early voting begins. Late candidate announcements or targeted regional campaigning on local economic and identity issues could shift probabilities in the final weeks.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Drummond–Bois-Francs race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election because recent provincial polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec trading narrow leads in the Centre-du-Québec region amid boundary adjustments and incomplete candidate slates. Incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger (CAQ) faces Charles Page (PQ), confirmed in late August, and Myriam Cournoyer (Parti conservateur du Québec), with nomination deadlines not closing until mid-September and limited Liberal or Québec solidaire entries so far. Trader consensus at roughly even odds across multiple contenders reflects high uncertainty over vote splitting, turnout patterns, and whether national trends favoring sovereignty-focused messaging or incumbent experience will consolidate support before early voting begins. Late candidate announcements or targeted regional campaigning on local economic and identity issues could shift probabilities in the final weeks.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sébastien Schneeberger" at 43%, followed by "Myriam Cournoyer" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Sébastien Schneeberger" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Myriam Cournoyer" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.