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Elections·Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Bernard Sévigny 45%

Guillaume Rousseau 43%

Hugo Fontaine 28%

Dominic Bouffard 27%

Polymarket
NEW

Bernard Sévigny 45%

Guillaume Rousseau 43%

Hugo Fontaine 28%

Dominic Bouffard 27%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Bernard Sévigny

Bernard Sévigny

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Guillaume Rousseau

Guillaume Rousseau

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Hugo Fontaine

Hugo Fontaine

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Dominic Bouffard

Dominic Bouffard

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for David Poulin-Latulippe

David Poulin-Latulippe

$20 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Richmond riding in Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election features a multi-candidate contest among established parties after incumbent CAQ MNA André Bachand opted not to run. Strong local profiles—CAQ nominee Guillaume Rousseau (legal scholar and former PQ candidate with ties to Bill 21), PQ nominee and ex-Sherbrooke mayor Bernard Sévigny, Liberal Hugo Fontaine, Conservative Dominic Bouffard, and Québec solidaire’s David Poulin-Latulippe—have produced closely matched trader odds. Provincial polling volatility, with the PQ gaining ground and the CAQ defending a 2022 majority seat now projected as a toss-up, sustains uncertainty. Recent candidate announcements, the August 27 writ drop, and local concerns over housing and turnout have not yet produced separation, leaving the outcome sensitive to late-campaign shifts in party momentum or voter mobilization in this mixed Estrie riding.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$20
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Richmond riding in Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election features a multi-candidate contest among established parties after incumbent CAQ MNA André Bachand opted not to run. Strong local profiles—CAQ nominee Guillaume Rousseau (legal scholar and former PQ candidate with ties to Bill 21), PQ nominee and ex-Sherbrooke mayor Bernard Sévigny, Liberal Hugo Fontaine, Conservative Dominic Bouffard, and Québec solidaire’s David Poulin-Latulippe—have produced closely matched trader odds. Provincial polling volatility, with the PQ gaining ground and the CAQ defending a 2022 majority seat now projected as a toss-up, sustains uncertainty. Recent candidate announcements, the August 27 writ drop, and local concerns over housing and turnout have not yet produced separation, leaving the outcome sensitive to late-campaign shifts in party momentum or voter mobilization in this mixed Estrie riding.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$20
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bernard Sévigny" at 45%, followed by "Guillaume Rousseau" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Bernard Sévigny" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Guillaume Rousseau" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.