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icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Claude Villeneuve 30%

Sol Zanetti 28%

Nathalie St-Pierre 26%

Gertrude Bourdon 25%

Polymarket
NEW

Claude Villeneuve 30%

Sol Zanetti 28%

Nathalie St-Pierre 26%

Gertrude Bourdon 25%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Claude Villeneuve

Claude Villeneuve

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Nathalie St-Pierre

Nathalie St-Pierre

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Gertrude Bourdon

Gertrude Bourdon

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Nancy Joannette

Nancy Joannette

$0 Vol.

21%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City remains a tight contest ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with trader consensus reflecting a toss-up driven by the late-August nomination of Parti québécois candidate Claude Villeneuve to challenge incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire. Villeneuve, a former municipal opposition leader with prior PQ experience, has framed the race around local effectiveness and ideas, while Zanetti benefits from incumbency and the riding's 2022 QS plurality. Projections from models updated August 30 show QS and PQ separated by narrow margins in popular vote estimates, with other candidates from the CAQ, Liberals, and Conservatives trailing. The campaign's early stage, limited polling specific to the district, and split opposition votes sustain the uncertainty reflected in current market pricing.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City remains a tight contest ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with trader consensus reflecting a toss-up driven by the late-August nomination of Parti québécois candidate Claude Villeneuve to challenge incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire. Villeneuve, a former municipal opposition leader with prior PQ experience, has framed the race around local effectiveness and ideas, while Zanetti benefits from incumbency and the riding's 2022 QS plurality. Projections from models updated August 30 show QS and PQ separated by narrow margins in popular vote estimates, with other candidates from the CAQ, Liberals, and Conservatives trailing. The campaign's early stage, limited polling specific to the district, and split opposition votes sustain the uncertainty reflected in current market pricing.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude Villeneuve" at 30%, followed by "Sol Zanetti" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Claude Villeneuve" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sol Zanetti" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.