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icon for Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Bernard Drainville 43%

Karine Laflamme 43%

Yanick Godbout 26%

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé 26%

Polymarket
NEW

Bernard Drainville 43%

Karine Laflamme 43%

Yanick Godbout 26%

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé 26%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Karine Laflamme

Karine Laflamme

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Yanick Godbout

Yanick Godbout

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Brittany Blais

Brittany Blais

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Lévis riding election on October 5 remains a tight contest between incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA and Minister Bernard Drainville and Conservative candidate Karine Laflamme, with other contenders including PQ’s Yanick Godbout, Liberal Brittany Blais, and QS’s Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé trailing further behind in projections. Regional polling shows elevated Conservative support in the Quebec City area amid a fragmented provincial race where the CAQ has narrowed gaps with the PQ while the PCQ holds competitive strength locally. Local issues such as the third-link highway project, housing, transit, and economic growth tied to naval contracts continue to feature prominently. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices underscores the uncertainty ahead of the September 17 nomination deadline and final weeks of campaigning, where shifts in francophone turnout or late regional momentum could widen the margin between the leading candidates.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Lévis riding election on October 5 remains a tight contest between incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA and Minister Bernard Drainville and Conservative candidate Karine Laflamme, with other contenders including PQ’s Yanick Godbout, Liberal Brittany Blais, and QS’s Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé trailing further behind in projections. Regional polling shows elevated Conservative support in the Quebec City area amid a fragmented provincial race where the CAQ has narrowed gaps with the PQ while the PCQ holds competitive strength locally. Local issues such as the third-link highway project, housing, transit, and economic growth tied to naval contracts continue to feature prominently. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices underscores the uncertainty ahead of the September 17 nomination deadline and final weeks of campaigning, where shifts in francophone turnout or late regional momentum could widen the margin between the leading candidates.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bernard Drainville" at 44%, followed by "Karine Laflamme" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Bernard Drainville" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Karine Laflamme" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.