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Politics·Global Elections

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 45%

Alexandre Leduc 43%

Janny Gaspard 28%

Béatrice Hodonou 26%

Polymarket
NEW

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 45%

Alexandre Leduc 43%

Janny Gaspard 28%

Béatrice Hodonou 26%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Maude Brossard-Sabourin

Maude Brossard-Sabourin

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Alexandre Leduc

Alexandre Leduc

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Janny Gaspard

Janny Gaspard

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Béatrice Hodonou

Béatrice Hodonou

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Elena Penta

Elena Penta

$21 Vol.

22%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding features a tight contest between incumbent Alexandre Leduc of Québec solidaire and Parti Québécois challenger Maude Brossard-Sabourin, with projections showing QS holding a narrow edge on the new electoral map. The race remains closely matched due to the district's progressive Montreal voter base, where QS captured over 50% in 2022 but PQ has narrowed the gap amid province-wide competition for left-leaning support ahead of the October 5 election. Recent developments include the August 27 writ drop by Premier Christine Fréchette, confirmed candidacies for the main parties, and the September 17 nomination deadline, which limit late entrants. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over turnout among key blocs and any late campaign momentum shifts that could favor one contender over the other in this QS-leaning seat.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$21
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding features a tight contest between incumbent Alexandre Leduc of Québec solidaire and Parti Québécois challenger Maude Brossard-Sabourin, with projections showing QS holding a narrow edge on the new electoral map. The race remains closely matched due to the district's progressive Montreal voter base, where QS captured over 50% in 2022 but PQ has narrowed the gap amid province-wide competition for left-leaning support ahead of the October 5 election. Recent developments include the August 27 writ drop by Premier Christine Fréchette, confirmed candidacies for the main parties, and the September 17 nomination deadline, which limit late entrants. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over turnout among key blocs and any late campaign momentum shifts that could favor one contender over the other in this QS-leaning seat.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$21
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Maude Brossard-Sabourin" at 46%, followed by "Alexandre Leduc" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Maude Brossard-Sabourin" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandre Leduc" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.