**Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability that President Trump will face impeachment before his term concludes in January 2029.** This reflects expectations around the 2026 midterm elections and Democratic efforts to regain House control, which could enable articles of impeachment as Trump himself has publicly warned. Recent catalysts include Democratic resolutions introduced in late 2025 and spring 2026 citing concerns over executive actions and foreign policy rhetoric during Iran-related tensions, alongside polls showing majority public support for impeachment proceedings amid approval ratings near 37%. Historical patterns of divided government increasing impeachment activity further shape positioning, though Senate conviction thresholds and current Republican majorities remain significant structural barriers. Resolution depends on House passage of articles prior to term end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$65,825 Обс.
$65,825 Обс.
$65,825 Обс.
$65,825 Обс.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability that President Trump will face impeachment before his term concludes in January 2029.** This reflects expectations around the 2026 midterm elections and Democratic efforts to regain House control, which could enable articles of impeachment as Trump himself has publicly warned. Recent catalysts include Democratic resolutions introduced in late 2025 and spring 2026 citing concerns over executive actions and foreign policy rhetoric during Iran-related tensions, alongside polls showing majority public support for impeachment proceedings amid approval ratings near 37%. Historical patterns of divided government increasing impeachment activity further shape positioning, though Senate conviction thresholds and current Republican majorities remain significant structural barriers. Resolution depends on House passage of articles prior to term end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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