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Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

icon for Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

65% шанс
Polymarket

$65,825 Обс.

65% шанс
Polymarket

$65,825 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability that President Trump will face impeachment before his term concludes in January 2029.** This reflects expectations around the 2026 midterm elections and Democratic efforts to regain House control, which could enable articles of impeachment as Trump himself has publicly warned. Recent catalysts include Democratic resolutions introduced in late 2025 and spring 2026 citing concerns over executive actions and foreign policy rhetoric during Iran-related tensions, alongside polls showing majority public support for impeachment proceedings amid approval ratings near 37%. Historical patterns of divided government increasing impeachment activity further shape positioning, though Senate conviction thresholds and current Republican majorities remain significant structural barriers. Resolution depends on House passage of articles prior to term end.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Обсяг
$65,825
Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2029
Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability that President Trump will face impeachment before his term concludes in January 2029.** This reflects expectations around the 2026 midterm elections and Democratic efforts to regain House control, which could enable articles of impeachment as Trump himself has publicly warned. Recent catalysts include Democratic resolutions introduced in late 2025 and spring 2026 citing concerns over executive actions and foreign policy rhetoric during Iran-related tensions, alongside polls showing majority public support for impeachment proceedings amid approval ratings near 37%. Historical patterns of divided government increasing impeachment activity further shape positioning, though Senate conviction thresholds and current Republican majorities remain significant structural barriers. Resolution depends on House passage of articles prior to term end.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Обсяг
$65,825
Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2029
Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 65% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 65¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 65%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?» згенерував $65.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 19, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?» — 65% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 65% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.