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Politics·Earn 4%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

icon for Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Politics·Earn 4%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

66% chance
Polymarket

$84,726 Vol.

66% chance
Polymarket

$84,726 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus at 66% for impeachment before January 2029 centers on the 2026 midterm elections and the prospect of Democrats securing a House majority to advance articles. Recent polls indicate that a slim majority of Americans see grounds for such action, while Democratic lawmakers including Rep. Al Green have introduced or highlighted resolutions citing executive conduct and foreign policy decisions. These factors, alongside institutional precedent for partisan House majorities pursuing impeachment, shape market pricing more than immediate legislative progress, which remains limited in the current Congress. Late-session developments or shifts in Senate dynamics could still influence outcomes within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$84,726
End Date
Jan 20, 2029
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus at 66% for impeachment before January 2029 centers on the 2026 midterm elections and the prospect of Democrats securing a House majority to advance articles. Recent polls indicate that a slim majority of Americans see grounds for such action, while Democratic lawmakers including Rep. Al Green have introduced or highlighted resolutions citing executive conduct and foreign policy decisions. These factors, alongside institutional precedent for partisan House majorities pursuing impeachment, shape market pricing more than immediate legislative progress, which remains limited in the current Congress. Late-session developments or shifts in Senate dynamics could still influence outcomes within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$84,726
End Date
Jan 20, 2029
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 66% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 66¢, the market collectively assigns a 66% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" has generated $84.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" is 66% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 66% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.