**Republican control of the House through the end of 2026 creates a structural barrier that makes impeachment proceedings against President Trump effectively impossible before the market resolves on December 31.** The current Republican majority shows no inclination to pursue articles against a president from their own party, and isolated Democratic resolutions introduced in 2026 have remained stalled in committee. Midterm forecasts as of September 2026 give Democrats a clear edge to regain the House, but any new majority would not assume power until the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027—after the resolution date. Public polling has shown majority sentiment that grounds for impeachment exist, citing issues such as executive actions on immigration enforcement, foreign policy decisions, and allegations of self-enrichment, yet Democratic leadership has avoided committing to immediate action. Senate conviction would additionally require a two-thirds supermajority, a threshold unmet even in prior, more bipartisan votes. The only scenarios that could still shift this outcome involve an unprecedented late-2026 development capable of prompting enough Republican defections in the lame-duck session, such as a major scandal or constitutional crisis with broad cross-party consensus—developments that remain outside observed political patterns. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects these institutional and calendar constraints rather than assessments of presidential conduct.