**Trump’s approval rating has remained in the mid-to-high 30s through early September 2026, shaped primarily by sustained economic dissatisfaction and the ongoing Iran conflict.** Recent polling aggregates place his job approval near 37–39 percent, with disapproval in the high 50s to low 60s, reflecting little movement since midsummer lows. Economic concerns—particularly inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions—continue to weigh on independent and some Republican support. The Iran situation, including prior ceasefire breakdowns and related costs, has further capped ratings on foreign policy handling. With the September 11 measurement just days away and no major new catalysts reported, trader consensus centers on outcomes clustered around 38 percent, consistent with the stable range shown in recent aggregator data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.5–38.9 39%
38.0–38.4 30%
37.5–37.9 25%
39.0–39.4 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
7%
37.5–37.9
25%
38.0–38.4
30%
38.5–38.9
39%
39.0–39.4
11%
39.5+
4%
38.5–38.9 39%
38.0–38.4 30%
37.5–37.9 25%
39.0–39.4 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
$196 Vol.
7%
37.5–37.9
$10 Vol.
25%
38.0–38.4
$30 Vol.
30%
38.5–38.9
$10 Vol.
39%
39.0–39.4
$142 Vol.
11%
39.5+
$41 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trump’s approval rating has remained in the mid-to-high 30s through early September 2026, shaped primarily by sustained economic dissatisfaction and the ongoing Iran conflict.** Recent polling aggregates place his job approval near 37–39 percent, with disapproval in the high 50s to low 60s, reflecting little movement since midsummer lows. Economic concerns—particularly inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions—continue to weigh on independent and some Republican support. The Iran situation, including prior ceasefire breakdowns and related costs, has further capped ratings on foreign policy handling.
With the September 11 measurement just days away and no major new catalysts reported, trader consensus centers on outcomes clustered around 38 percent, consistent with the stable range shown in recent aggregator data.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$429End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trump’s approval rating has remained in the mid-to-high 30s through early September 2026, shaped primarily by sustained economic dissatisfaction and the ongoing Iran conflict.** Recent polling aggregates place his job approval near 37–39 percent, with disapproval in the high 50s to low 60s, reflecting little movement since midsummer lows. Economic concerns—particularly inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions—continue to weigh on independent and some Republican support. The Iran situation, including prior ceasefire breakdowns and related costs, has further capped ratings on foreign policy handling.
With the September 11 measurement just days away and no major new catalysts reported, trader consensus centers on outcomes clustered around 38 percent, consistent with the stable range shown in recent aggregator data.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$429End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trump’s approval rating has remained in the mid-to-high 30s through early September 2026, shaped primarily by sustained economic dissatisfaction and the ongoing Iran conflict.** Recent polling aggregates place his job approval near 37–39 percent, with disapproval in the high 50s to low 60s, reflecting little movement since midsummer lows. Economic concerns—particularly inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions—continue to weigh on independent and some Republican support. The Iran situation, including prior ceasefire breakdowns and related costs, has further capped ratings on foreign policy handling. With the September 11 measurement just days away and no major new catalysts reported, trader consensus centers on outcomes clustered around 38 percent, consistent with the stable range shown in recent aggregator data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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