Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle between 14–16 °C under a mild westerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent humidity near 80–90 % and light winds further suppress temperature drops, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September while exceeding the 11 °C historical average low. Trader consensus around the 15–16 °C outcomes reflects this model agreement, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late frontal passage that could allow brief additional cooling or maintain warmer conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official KNMI observations the following morning will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
22°C or higher 54%
12°C or below 53%
14°C 40%
13°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
53%
13°C
39%
14°C
40%
15°C
29%
16°C
33%
17°C
22%
18°C
21%
19°C
39%
20°C
14%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
54%
22°C or higher 54%
12°C or below 53%
14°C 40%
13°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
53%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$4 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
29%
16°C
$4 Vol.
33%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle between 14–16 °C under a mild westerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent humidity near 80–90 % and light winds further suppress temperature drops, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September while exceeding the 11 °C historical average low. Trader consensus around the 15–16 °C outcomes reflects this model agreement, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late frontal passage that could allow brief additional cooling or maintain warmer conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official KNMI observations the following morning will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$7End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle between 14–16 °C under a mild westerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent humidity near 80–90 % and light winds further suppress temperature drops, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September while exceeding the 11 °C historical average low. Trader consensus around the 15–16 °C outcomes reflects this model agreement, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late frontal passage that could allow brief additional cooling or maintain warmer conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official KNMI observations the following morning will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle between 14–16 °C under a mild westerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent humidity near 80–90 % and light winds further suppress temperature drops, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September while exceeding the 11 °C historical average low. Trader consensus around the 15–16 °C outcomes reflects this model agreement, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late frontal passage that could allow brief additional cooling or maintain warmer conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official KNMI observations the following morning will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions