**Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and yr.no, indicate a minimum temperature for Karachi on September 20 around 27–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and high humidity.** This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, yet the market shows near-even odds between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and local variability. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling under clear skies versus heat retention from humidity and urban effects; steering patterns that could advect slightly cooler air from the north or maintain warmer maritime influence from the Arabian Sea; and typical September baseline lows near 25–27°C. New model runs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 20?
22°C or below 99%
32°C or higher 98%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
99%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
98%
22°C or below 99%
32°C or higher 98%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
99%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C
$0 Vol.
39%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and yr.no, indicate a minimum temperature for Karachi on September 20 around 27–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and high humidity.** This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, yet the market shows near-even odds between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and local variability. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling under clear skies versus heat retention from humidity and urban effects; steering patterns that could advect slightly cooler air from the north or maintain warmer maritime influence from the Arabian Sea; and typical September baseline lows near 25–27°C. New model runs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and yr.no, indicate a minimum temperature for Karachi on September 20 around 27–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and high humidity.** This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, yet the market shows near-even odds between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and local variability. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling under clear skies versus heat retention from humidity and urban effects; steering patterns that could advect slightly cooler air from the north or maintain warmer maritime influence from the Arabian Sea; and typical September baseline lows near 25–27°C. New model runs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and yr.no, indicate a minimum temperature for Karachi on September 20 around 27–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and high humidity.** This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, yet the market shows near-even odds between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and local variability. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling under clear skies versus heat retention from humidity and urban effects; steering patterns that could advect slightly cooler air from the north or maintain warmer maritime influence from the Arabian Sea; and typical September baseline lows near 25–27°C. New model runs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions