Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern France, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow, anchor trader sentiment around a 24°C overnight low for Paris on June 23, with that outcome at 31% implied probability. Clear skies and light winds expected through the period favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 37°C, yet model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows limited spread in minimum temperatures clustered between 21–24°C. Recent observations confirm unusually mild nights during the June 19–21 period, with lows near 20–23°C, while uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps probabilities for 21°C or below and 25°C+ closely matched. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on June 23?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 23?
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,567 Vol.
$13,567 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,567 Vol.
$13,567 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
21°C or below
$946 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,132 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,418 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$1,168 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,415 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,411 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,429 Vol.
No
28°C
$566 Vol.
No
29°C
$430 Vol.
No
30°C
$237 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$416 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern France, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow, anchor trader sentiment around a 24°C overnight low for Paris on June 23, with that outcome at 31% implied probability. Clear skies and light winds expected through the period favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 37°C, yet model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows limited spread in minimum temperatures clustered between 21–24°C. Recent observations confirm unusually mild nights during the June 19–21 period, with lows near 20–23°C, while uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps probabilities for 21°C or below and 25°C+ closely matched. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,567End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern France, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow, anchor trader sentiment around a 24°C overnight low for Paris on June 23, with that outcome at 31% implied probability. Clear skies and light winds expected through the period favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 37°C, yet model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows limited spread in minimum temperatures clustered between 21–24°C. Recent observations confirm unusually mild nights during the June 19–21 period, with lows near 20–23°C, while uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps probabilities for 21°C or below and 25°C+ closely matched. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,567End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern France, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow, anchor trader sentiment around a 24°C overnight low for Paris on June 23, with that outcome at 31% implied probability. Clear skies and light winds expected through the period favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 37°C, yet model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows limited spread in minimum temperatures clustered between 21–24°C. Recent observations confirm unusually mild nights during the June 19–21 period, with lows near 20–23°C, while uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps probabilities for 21°C or below and 25°C+ closely matched. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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