Recent polls for the two Mato Grosso do Sul Senate seats show a fragmented field, with Reinaldo Azambuja leading but no candidate consistently securing clear second place. Multiple contenders including Capitão Contar, Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and Beto do Movimento draw support across parties, while alliances and party switches continue to reshape positioning ahead of the October vote. Voters select two names, which sustains uncertainty around the runner-up and keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Upcoming polling releases and formal candidate registrations could shift momentum by clarifying vote consolidation among the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeto do Movimento 44%
Reinaldo Azambuja 44%
Roberto Oshiro 44%
Valter da Comagran 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Beto do Movimento
44%
Reinaldo Azambuja
44%
Roberto Oshiro
44%
Valter da Comagran
44%
Capitão Contar
44%
Daniel Junior
44%
Luiz Lemes
44%
Soraya
44%
Valderi Garcia
44%
Vander Loubet
44%
Beto do Movimento 44%
Reinaldo Azambuja 44%
Roberto Oshiro 44%
Valter da Comagran 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Beto do Movimento
$0 Vol.
44%
Reinaldo Azambuja
$0 Vol.
44%
Roberto Oshiro
$0 Vol.
44%
Valter da Comagran
$0 Vol.
44%
Capitão Contar
$0 Vol.
44%
Daniel Junior
$0 Vol.
44%
Luiz Lemes
$0 Vol.
44%
Soraya
$0 Vol.
44%
Valderi Garcia
$0 Vol.
44%
Vander Loubet
$0 Vol.
44%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for the two Mato Grosso do Sul Senate seats show a fragmented field, with Reinaldo Azambuja leading but no candidate consistently securing clear second place. Multiple contenders including Capitão Contar, Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and Beto do Movimento draw support across parties, while alliances and party switches continue to reshape positioning ahead of the October vote. Voters select two names, which sustains uncertainty around the runner-up and keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Upcoming polling releases and formal candidate registrations could shift momentum by clarifying vote consolidation among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for the two Mato Grosso do Sul Senate seats show a fragmented field, with Reinaldo Azambuja leading but no candidate consistently securing clear second place. Multiple contenders including Capitão Contar, Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and Beto do Movimento draw support across parties, while alliances and party switches continue to reshape positioning ahead of the October vote. Voters select two names, which sustains uncertainty around the runner-up and keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Upcoming polling releases and formal candidate registrations could shift momentum by clarifying vote consolidation among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the two Mato Grosso do Sul Senate seats show a fragmented field, with Reinaldo Azambuja leading but no candidate consistently securing clear second place. Multiple contenders including Capitão Contar, Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and Beto do Movimento draw support across parties, while alliances and party switches continue to reshape positioning ahead of the October vote. Voters select two names, which sustains uncertainty around the runner-up and keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Upcoming polling releases and formal candidate registrations could shift momentum by clarifying vote consolidation among the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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