Recent polling from early August shows a fragmented field for Mato Grosso’s two Senate seats, with Mauro Mendes and Janaína Riva leading but separated by just two points inside the margin of error, followed by Carlos Fávaro, José Medeiros, and Pedro Taques in the low-to-mid teens. Candidate registration closed on August 15, confirming a crowded ballot that includes Galvan, Buzetti, and others drawing single-digit support. This distribution of preferences, combined with the state’s conservative-leaning electorate and strong agribusiness influence across multiple parties, sustains the close contest for first place. Further separation would likely require late-campaign consolidation, stronger turnout among specific voting blocs, or shifts in endorsements ahead of the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGalvan 45%
Jose Medeiros 44%
Margareth Buzetti 44%
Pedro Taques 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Galvan
45%
Jose Medeiros
44%
Margareth Buzetti
44%
Pedro Taques
44%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
44%
Beny Godoy
44%
Mauro Mendes
44%
Coronel Darwin
43%
Janaina Riva
43%
Fávaro
38%
Galvan 45%
Jose Medeiros 44%
Margareth Buzetti 44%
Pedro Taques 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Galvan
$0 Vol.
45%
Jose Medeiros
$0 Vol.
44%
Margareth Buzetti
$0 Vol.
44%
Pedro Taques
$0 Vol.
44%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
$0 Vol.
44%
Beny Godoy
$0 Vol.
44%
Mauro Mendes
$0 Vol.
44%
Coronel Darwin
$0 Vol.
43%
Janaina Riva
$0 Vol.
43%
Fávaro
$0 Vol.
38%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early August shows a fragmented field for Mato Grosso’s two Senate seats, with Mauro Mendes and Janaína Riva leading but separated by just two points inside the margin of error, followed by Carlos Fávaro, José Medeiros, and Pedro Taques in the low-to-mid teens. Candidate registration closed on August 15, confirming a crowded ballot that includes Galvan, Buzetti, and others drawing single-digit support. This distribution of preferences, combined with the state’s conservative-leaning electorate and strong agribusiness influence across multiple parties, sustains the close contest for first place. Further separation would likely require late-campaign consolidation, stronger turnout among specific voting blocs, or shifts in endorsements ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early August shows a fragmented field for Mato Grosso’s two Senate seats, with Mauro Mendes and Janaína Riva leading but separated by just two points inside the margin of error, followed by Carlos Fávaro, José Medeiros, and Pedro Taques in the low-to-mid teens. Candidate registration closed on August 15, confirming a crowded ballot that includes Galvan, Buzetti, and others drawing single-digit support. This distribution of preferences, combined with the state’s conservative-leaning electorate and strong agribusiness influence across multiple parties, sustains the close contest for first place. Further separation would likely require late-campaign consolidation, stronger turnout among specific voting blocs, or shifts in endorsements ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early August shows a fragmented field for Mato Grosso’s two Senate seats, with Mauro Mendes and Janaína Riva leading but separated by just two points inside the margin of error, followed by Carlos Fávaro, José Medeiros, and Pedro Taques in the low-to-mid teens. Candidate registration closed on August 15, confirming a crowded ballot that includes Galvan, Buzetti, and others drawing single-digit support. This distribution of preferences, combined with the state’s conservative-leaning electorate and strong agribusiness influence across multiple parties, sustains the close contest for first place. Further separation would likely require late-campaign consolidation, stronger turnout among specific voting blocs, or shifts in endorsements ahead of the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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