**Narendra Modi continues to lead India’s government with no credible indications of an imminent exit.** As of mid-September 2026, he remains actively engaged in official duties, including hosting the BRICS summit and conducting bilateral diplomacy. Recent youth-led protests over education and exam integrity prompted the July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan but produced no broader leadership change. Official sources, including the Press Information Bureau, have repeatedly debunked fabricated resignation letters and videos circulating earlier in the year. Modi’s position benefits from the BJP-led coalition’s parliamentary majority, his record as India’s longest-serving elected prime minister (achieved in 2026), and polling that continues to rank him as the leading choice for the role ahead of the 2029 general election. No scheduled elections, constitutional term limits, or confirmed health or party developments create pressure for departure within the narrow window to December 31, 2026. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to continuity, viewing any short-term removal as highly improbable absent unforeseen shocks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
6% chance
$252,183 Vol.
$252,183 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
6% chance
$252,183 Vol.
$252,183 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Narendra Modi continues to lead India’s government with no credible indications of an imminent exit.** As of mid-September 2026, he remains actively engaged in official duties, including hosting the BRICS summit and conducting bilateral diplomacy. Recent youth-led protests over education and exam integrity prompted the July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan but produced no broader leadership change. Official sources, including the Press Information Bureau, have repeatedly debunked fabricated resignation letters and videos circulating earlier in the year.
Modi’s position benefits from the BJP-led coalition’s parliamentary majority, his record as India’s longest-serving elected prime minister (achieved in 2026), and polling that continues to rank him as the leading choice for the role ahead of the 2029 general election. No scheduled elections, constitutional term limits, or confirmed health or party developments create pressure for departure within the narrow window to December 31, 2026. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to continuity, viewing any short-term removal as highly improbable absent unforeseen shocks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$252,183End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Narendra Modi continues to lead India’s government with no credible indications of an imminent exit.** As of mid-September 2026, he remains actively engaged in official duties, including hosting the BRICS summit and conducting bilateral diplomacy. Recent youth-led protests over education and exam integrity prompted the July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan but produced no broader leadership change. Official sources, including the Press Information Bureau, have repeatedly debunked fabricated resignation letters and videos circulating earlier in the year.
Modi’s position benefits from the BJP-led coalition’s parliamentary majority, his record as India’s longest-serving elected prime minister (achieved in 2026), and polling that continues to rank him as the leading choice for the role ahead of the 2029 general election. No scheduled elections, constitutional term limits, or confirmed health or party developments create pressure for departure within the narrow window to December 31, 2026. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to continuity, viewing any short-term removal as highly improbable absent unforeseen shocks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$252,183End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Narendra Modi continues to lead India’s government with no credible indications of an imminent exit.** As of mid-September 2026, he remains actively engaged in official duties, including hosting the BRICS summit and conducting bilateral diplomacy. Recent youth-led protests over education and exam integrity prompted the July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan but produced no broader leadership change. Official sources, including the Press Information Bureau, have repeatedly debunked fabricated resignation letters and videos circulating earlier in the year. Modi’s position benefits from the BJP-led coalition’s parliamentary majority, his record as India’s longest-serving elected prime minister (achieved in 2026), and polling that continues to rank him as the leading choice for the role ahead of the 2029 general election. No scheduled elections, constitutional term limits, or confirmed health or party developments create pressure for departure within the narrow window to December 31, 2026. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to continuity, viewing any short-term removal as highly improbable absent unforeseen shocks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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