Ukrainian drone strikes on the Moscow region remain the dominant driver of repeated flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports. Russian authorities, including Rosaviatsiya, have imposed simultaneous temporary suspensions of arrivals and departures multiple times in 2026—most recently on August 21—while air defenses intercepted incoming UAVs, citing airspace safety. Large-scale attacks in June and July, involving dozens to hundreds of drones, produced similar multi-hour closures and widespread cancellations, often coinciding with strikes on nearby infrastructure. As of late August, such incidents continue amid the broader conflict, with the market focused on whether all three primary airports face concurrent restrictions again before the August 31 resolution date. No other causes have triggered comparable coordinated shutdowns in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMoscow air traffic suspended by...?
Moscow air traffic suspended by...?
$6,035 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
Yes
September 15
Yes
September 30
Yes
$6,035 Vol.
August 31
$3,179 Vol.
Yes
September 15
$1,322 Vol.
Yes
September 30
$1,533 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukrainian drone strikes on the Moscow region remain the dominant driver of repeated flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports. Russian authorities, including Rosaviatsiya, have imposed simultaneous temporary suspensions of arrivals and departures multiple times in 2026—most recently on August 21—while air defenses intercepted incoming UAVs, citing airspace safety. Large-scale attacks in June and July, involving dozens to hundreds of drones, produced similar multi-hour closures and widespread cancellations, often coinciding with strikes on nearby infrastructure. As of late August, such incidents continue amid the broader conflict, with the market focused on whether all three primary airports face concurrent restrictions again before the August 31 resolution date. No other causes have triggered comparable coordinated shutdowns in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volume
$6,035End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukrainian drone strikes on the Moscow region remain the dominant driver of repeated flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports. Russian authorities, including Rosaviatsiya, have imposed simultaneous temporary suspensions of arrivals and departures multiple times in 2026—most recently on August 21—while air defenses intercepted incoming UAVs, citing airspace safety. Large-scale attacks in June and July, involving dozens to hundreds of drones, produced similar multi-hour closures and widespread cancellations, often coinciding with strikes on nearby infrastructure. As of late August, such incidents continue amid the broader conflict, with the market focused on whether all three primary airports face concurrent restrictions again before the August 31 resolution date. No other causes have triggered comparable coordinated shutdowns in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,035End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Ukrainian drone strikes on the Moscow region remain the dominant driver of repeated flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports. Russian authorities, including Rosaviatsiya, have imposed simultaneous temporary suspensions of arrivals and departures multiple times in 2026—most recently on August 21—while air defenses intercepted incoming UAVs, citing airspace safety. Large-scale attacks in June and July, involving dozens to hundreds of drones, produced similar multi-hour closures and widespread cancellations, often coinciding with strikes on nearby infrastructure. As of late August, such incidents continue amid the broader conflict, with the market focused on whether all three primary airports face concurrent restrictions again before the August 31 resolution date. No other causes have triggered comparable coordinated shutdowns in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions