US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a January 3, 2026, military operation in Caracas, transporting them to New York for federal prosecution on narco-terrorism, cocaine trafficking, and weapons charges. Maduro has pleaded not guilty and remains in Brooklyn detention pending court proceedings, with an adjournment noted into March 2026. Venezuela’s acting president Delcy Rodríguez has assumed power, pursued domestic reforms including prisoner amnesties, and engaged the US on diplomatic normalization and energy cooperation. Caracas continues to demand Maduro’s release through international channels, while US policy emphasizes continued custody and legal accountability. Key variables for any potential release include plea negotiations, trial outcomes, bilateral diplomatic shifts, or executive actions within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$2,650,056 Объем
31 янв. 2026 г.
December 31
10%
$2,650,056 Объем
December 31
$254,607 Объем
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a January 3, 2026, military operation in Caracas, transporting them to New York for federal prosecution on narco-terrorism, cocaine trafficking, and weapons charges. Maduro has pleaded not guilty and remains in Brooklyn detention pending court proceedings, with an adjournment noted into March 2026. Venezuela’s acting president Delcy Rodríguez has assumed power, pursued domestic reforms including prisoner amnesties, and engaged the US on diplomatic normalization and energy cooperation. Caracas continues to demand Maduro’s release through international channels, while US policy emphasizes continued custody and legal accountability. Key variables for any potential release include plea negotiations, trial outcomes, bilateral diplomatic shifts, or executive actions within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Объем
$2,650,056Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a January 3, 2026, military operation in Caracas, transporting them to New York for federal prosecution on narco-terrorism, cocaine trafficking, and weapons charges. Maduro has pleaded not guilty and remains in Brooklyn detention pending court proceedings, with an adjournment noted into March 2026. Venezuela’s acting president Delcy Rodríguez has assumed power, pursued domestic reforms including prisoner amnesties, and engaged the US on diplomatic normalization and energy cooperation. Caracas continues to demand Maduro’s release through international channels, while US policy emphasizes continued custody and legal accountability. Key variables for any potential release include plea negotiations, trial outcomes, bilateral diplomatic shifts, or executive actions within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,650,056Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a January 3, 2026, military operation in Caracas, transporting them to New York for federal prosecution on narco-terrorism, cocaine trafficking, and weapons charges. Maduro has pleaded not guilty and remains in Brooklyn detention pending court proceedings, with an adjournment noted into March 2026. Venezuela’s acting president Delcy Rodríguez has assumed power, pursued domestic reforms including prisoner amnesties, and engaged the US on diplomatic normalization and energy cooperation. Caracas continues to demand Maduro’s release through international channels, while US policy emphasizes continued custody and legal accountability. Key variables for any potential release include plea negotiations, trial outcomes, bilateral diplomatic shifts, or executive actions within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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