Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in federal detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since their January 2026 capture during a U.S. operation in Caracas and subsequent transfer to New York to face drug-trafficking and weapons charges, to which both have pleaded not guilty. In early September 2026, Flores’s attorneys filed a motion seeking pretrial release to home confinement in Manhattan, citing a worsening heart condition that they argue cannot be adequately managed in detention and proposing strict conditions including 24-hour armed surveillance and monitored communications. Federal prosecutors have opposed the request, and U.S. District Judge Alvin K. Hellerstein has not yet ruled while also sealing related medical records. A trial date has been discussed for mid-2027, making the pending bail decision the primary near-term factor that could alter her custody status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
$1,379,461 Vol.
Jan 30, 2026
December 31
16%
$1,379,461 Vol.
December 31
$332,860 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in federal detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since their January 2026 capture during a U.S. operation in Caracas and subsequent transfer to New York to face drug-trafficking and weapons charges, to which both have pleaded not guilty. In early September 2026, Flores’s attorneys filed a motion seeking pretrial release to home confinement in Manhattan, citing a worsening heart condition that they argue cannot be adequately managed in detention and proposing strict conditions including 24-hour armed surveillance and monitored communications. Federal prosecutors have opposed the request, and U.S. District Judge Alvin K. Hellerstein has not yet ruled while also sealing related medical records. A trial date has been discussed for mid-2027, making the pending bail decision the primary near-term factor that could alter her custody status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,379,461End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in federal detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since their January 2026 capture during a U.S. operation in Caracas and subsequent transfer to New York to face drug-trafficking and weapons charges, to which both have pleaded not guilty. In early September 2026, Flores’s attorneys filed a motion seeking pretrial release to home confinement in Manhattan, citing a worsening heart condition that they argue cannot be adequately managed in detention and proposing strict conditions including 24-hour armed surveillance and monitored communications. Federal prosecutors have opposed the request, and U.S. District Judge Alvin K. Hellerstein has not yet ruled while also sealing related medical records. A trial date has been discussed for mid-2027, making the pending bail decision the primary near-term factor that could alter her custody status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,379,461End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in federal detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since their January 2026 capture during a U.S. operation in Caracas and subsequent transfer to New York to face drug-trafficking and weapons charges, to which both have pleaded not guilty. In early September 2026, Flores’s attorneys filed a motion seeking pretrial release to home confinement in Manhattan, citing a worsening heart condition that they argue cannot be adequately managed in detention and proposing strict conditions including 24-hour armed surveillance and monitored communications. Federal prosecutors have opposed the request, and U.S. District Judge Alvin K. Hellerstein has not yet ruled while also sealing related medical records. A trial date has been discussed for mid-2027, making the pending bail decision the primary near-term factor that could alter her custody status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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