U.S. federal authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, during a military operation in Caracas and transferred both to pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn on drug trafficking and weapons charges. She pleaded not guilty at arraignment on January 5 and has remained in custody through subsequent proceedings, including a March 2026 hearing that rejected a defense motion to dismiss the case. Trader views center on the extended federal pretrial timeline, potential bail applications, plea negotiations, or any diplomatic or executive actions that could lead to release, deportation, or repatriation before trial. No bail has been granted to date, and the standard pace of Southern District of New York cases continues to shape assessments of timing and responsible actor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,316,363 交易量
12月31日
32%
$1,316,363 交易量
12月31日
32%
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. federal authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, during a military operation in Caracas and transferred both to pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn on drug trafficking and weapons charges. She pleaded not guilty at arraignment on January 5 and has remained in custody through subsequent proceedings, including a March 2026 hearing that rejected a defense motion to dismiss the case. Trader views center on the extended federal pretrial timeline, potential bail applications, plea negotiations, or any diplomatic or executive actions that could lead to release, deportation, or repatriation before trial. No bail has been granted to date, and the standard pace of Southern District of New York cases continues to shape assessments of timing and responsible actor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题