Trader consensus reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on April 6, with even pricing across buckets from under 4,000 to over 7,000 amid ongoing FAA air traffic control staffing shortages at key hubs like Newark and new capacity restrictions at SFO from runway construction and safety rules. Recent FAA reports highlight low clouds potentially impacting Northeast airports including Boston, New York, and Philadelphia, while spring break travel surges push volumes toward record highs, aligning with March averages of around 5,600 delays daily. Absent major catalysts like severe thunderstorms, widespread ground stops, or airline system outages—echoing recent winter storm disruptions—odds remain tightly clustered; emerging weather patterns or ATC alerts in the next 48 hours could drive separation toward higher ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated<4,000 48%
4,000-4,500 48%
4,500-5,000 47%
5,000-5,500 47%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
<4,000
48%
4,000-4,500
48%
4,500-5,000
47%
5,000-5,500
47%
5,500-6,000
47%
6,000-6,500
47%
6,500-7,000
46%
>7,000
47%
<4,000 48%
4,000-4,500 48%
4,500-5,000 47%
5,000-5,500 47%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
<4,000
$0 Vol.
48%
4,000-4,500
$0 Vol.
48%
4,500-5,000
$0 Vol.
47%
5,000-5,500
$0 Vol.
47%
5,500-6,000
$0 Vol.
47%
6,000-6,500
$0 Vol.
47%
6,500-7,000
$0 Vol.
46%
>7,000
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on April 6, with even pricing across buckets from under 4,000 to over 7,000 amid ongoing FAA air traffic control staffing shortages at key hubs like Newark and new capacity restrictions at SFO from runway construction and safety rules. Recent FAA reports highlight low clouds potentially impacting Northeast airports including Boston, New York, and Philadelphia, while spring break travel surges push volumes toward record highs, aligning with March averages of around 5,600 delays daily. Absent major catalysts like severe thunderstorms, widespread ground stops, or airline system outages—echoing recent winter storm disruptions—odds remain tightly clustered; emerging weather patterns or ATC alerts in the next 48 hours could drive separation toward higher ranges.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on April 6, with even pricing across buckets from under 4,000 to over 7,000 amid ongoing FAA air traffic control staffing shortages at key hubs like Newark and new capacity restrictions at SFO from runway construction and safety rules. Recent FAA reports highlight low clouds potentially impacting Northeast airports including Boston, New York, and Philadelphia, while spring break travel surges push volumes toward record highs, aligning with March averages of around 5,600 delays daily. Absent major catalysts like severe thunderstorms, widespread ground stops, or airline system outages—echoing recent winter storm disruptions—odds remain tightly clustered; emerging weather patterns or ATC alerts in the next 48 hours could drive separation toward higher ranges.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$0End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on April 6, with even pricing across buckets from under 4,000 to over 7,000 amid ongoing FAA air traffic control staffing shortages at key hubs like Newark and new capacity restrictions at SFO from runway construction and safety rules. Recent FAA reports highlight low clouds potentially impacting Northeast airports including Boston, New York, and Philadelphia, while spring break travel surges push volumes toward record highs, aligning with March averages of around 5,600 delays daily. Absent major catalysts like severe thunderstorms, widespread ground stops, or airline system outages—echoing recent winter storm disruptions—odds remain tightly clustered; emerging weather patterns or ATC alerts in the next 48 hours could drive separation toward higher ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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