The New York 10th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, drives the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with no viable Republican challenger emerging to date. An imminent June 23 Democratic primary between incumbent Representative Dan Goldman and Brad Lander, where recent polls show Lander leading, will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general election outcome given the district's composition. A late scandal, significant candidate withdrawal, or unexpected turnout shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical precedent in similarly partisan districts makes such changes improbable before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-10
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-10
$44,500 Vol.
$44,500 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
2%
$44,500 Vol.
$44,500 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$12,095 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$32,405 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New York 10th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, drives the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with no viable Republican challenger emerging to date. An imminent June 23 Democratic primary between incumbent Representative Dan Goldman and Brad Lander, where recent polls show Lander leading, will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general election outcome given the district's composition. A late scandal, significant candidate withdrawal, or unexpected turnout shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical precedent in similarly partisan districts makes such changes improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$44,500Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New York 10th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, drives the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with no viable Republican challenger emerging to date. An imminent June 23 Democratic primary between incumbent Representative Dan Goldman and Brad Lander, where recent polls show Lander leading, will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general election outcome given the district's composition. A late scandal, significant candidate withdrawal, or unexpected turnout shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical precedent in similarly partisan districts makes such changes improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$44,500Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The New York 10th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, drives the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with no viable Republican challenger emerging to date. An imminent June 23 Democratic primary between incumbent Representative Dan Goldman and Brad Lander, where recent polls show Lander leading, will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general election outcome given the district's composition. A late scandal, significant candidate withdrawal, or unexpected turnout shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical precedent in similarly partisan districts makes such changes improbable before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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