New York’s 10th congressional district, covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent historical voting patterns. Incumbent Democrat Dan Goldman, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with over 82 percent in 2024, faces a June 23 primary challenge from Brad Lander, but all major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary was canceled, leaving minimal opposition in a district where Democratic nominees routinely prevail by wide margins. Trader consensus on a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Late developments such as a significant primary upset or unexpected national shift could theoretically alter the general-election dynamics, though such outcomes remain rare in districts of this partisan composition.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-10
Vainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-10
$44,500 Vol.
$44,500 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
2%
$44,500 Vol.
$44,500 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$12,095 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$32,405 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 10th congressional district, covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent historical voting patterns. Incumbent Democrat Dan Goldman, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with over 82 percent in 2024, faces a June 23 primary challenge from Brad Lander, but all major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary was canceled, leaving minimal opposition in a district where Democratic nominees routinely prevail by wide margins. Trader consensus on a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Late developments such as a significant primary upset or unexpected national shift could theoretically alter the general-election dynamics, though such outcomes remain rare in districts of this partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$44,500Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 10th congressional district, covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent historical voting patterns. Incumbent Democrat Dan Goldman, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with over 82 percent in 2024, faces a June 23 primary challenge from Brad Lander, but all major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary was canceled, leaving minimal opposition in a district where Democratic nominees routinely prevail by wide margins. Trader consensus on a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Late developments such as a significant primary upset or unexpected national shift could theoretically alter the general-election dynamics, though such outcomes remain rare in districts of this partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,500Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 10th congressional district, covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent historical voting patterns. Incumbent Democrat Dan Goldman, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with over 82 percent in 2024, faces a June 23 primary challenge from Brad Lander, but all major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary was canceled, leaving minimal opposition in a district where Democratic nominees routinely prevail by wide margins. Trader consensus on a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Late developments such as a significant primary upset or unexpected national shift could theoretically alter the general-election dynamics, though such outcomes remain rare in districts of this partisan composition.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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