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# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?

Market icon

# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?

15m+ 43%

11m-12m 40%

13m-14m 37%

14m-15m 35%

Polymarket
NEW

15m+ 43%

11m-12m 40%

13m-14m 37%

14m-15m 35%

Polymarket
NEW

<11m

$218 Vol.

2%

11m-12m

$25 Vol.

40%

12m-13m

$5,623 Vol.

42%

13m-14m

$433 Vol.

37%

14m-15m

$9 Vol.

35%

15m+

$29 Vol.

43%

Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" music video, co-directed with Margaret Qualley and starring Madelyn Cline, has amassed nearly 8 million YouTube views in its first 48 hours since the April 6 debut, propelling trader sentiment toward 12-15 million first-week totals in a razor-thin market. The cheeky heist romp from her Man's Best Friend album leverages Carpenter's Grammy-fueled superstardom, explosive social buzz—her announcement tweet hit 26 million impressions—and rave coverage from Billboard and Rolling Stone, mirroring her prior hits' rapid streaming trajectories. Yet closely matched implied probabilities (43.5% for 15m+, 41% for 12m-13m) reflect competitive dynamics: front-loaded YouTube gains risk tapering mid-week without viral TikTok boosts or playlist surges, with historical precedents showing 20-30% view decay post-initial spike ahead of April 13 resolution.

Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Volume
$6,338
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" music video, co-directed with Margaret Qualley and starring Madelyn Cline, has amassed nearly 8 million YouTube views in its first 48 hours since the April 6 debut, propelling trader sentiment toward 12-15 million first-week totals in a razor-thin market. The cheeky heist romp from her Man's Best Friend album leverages Carpenter's Grammy-fueled superstardom, explosive social buzz—her announcement tweet hit 26 million impressions—and rave coverage from Billboard and Rolling Stone, mirroring her prior hits' rapid streaming trajectories. Yet closely matched implied probabilities (43.5% for 15m+, 41% for 12m-13m) reflect competitive dynamics: front-loaded YouTube gains risk tapering mid-week without viral TikTok boosts or playlist surges, with historical precedents showing 20-30% view decay post-initial spike ahead of April 13 resolution.

Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Volume
$6,338
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "15m+" at 43%, followed by "12m-13m" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?" is "15m+" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12m-13m" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.