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icon for Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

Chen Chen-chung 74%

Wu Shu-chin 23%

Chou Ni-an 4.7%

Yeh Chu-lin 3.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Chen Chen-chung 74%

Wu Shu-chin 23%

Chou Ni-an 4.7%

Yeh Chu-lin 3.6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Chen Chen-chung

Chen Chen-chung

$2,435 Vol.

74%

icon for Wu Shu-chin

Wu Shu-chin

$4,871 Vol.

23%

icon for Chou Ni-an

Chou Ni-an

$492 Vol.

5%

icon for Yeh Chu-lin

Yeh Chu-lin

$384 Vol.

4%

icon for Chen Chin-chuan

Chen Chin-chuan

$341 Vol.

2%

icon for Hsu Chih-fu

Hsu Chih-fu

$941 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang nominee and former Hu-hsi Township head, holds an 80% implied probability in the Penghu County Magistrate race due to consolidated pan-blue support ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote. The Democratic Progressive Party's substitution of Wu Shu-chin for her incapacitated husband, incumbent Chen Kuang-fu, after his February 2026 fall and ongoing health issues has limited the party's momentum in a county that has alternated between parties. Independent Yeh Chu-lin, a former Magong mayor, draws some pan-blue votes but trails at 3.8%, while other registered candidates including independents Hsu Chih-fu and Chen Chin-chuan register minimal trader interest. July-August 2026 polling showed Chen Chen-chung ahead at roughly 30% to Wu's 21% and Yeh's 18%, reflecting the structural advantages for the KMT nominee in this multi-candidate field.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$9,463
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang nominee and former Hu-hsi Township head, holds an 80% implied probability in the Penghu County Magistrate race due to consolidated pan-blue support ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote. The Democratic Progressive Party's substitution of Wu Shu-chin for her incapacitated husband, incumbent Chen Kuang-fu, after his February 2026 fall and ongoing health issues has limited the party's momentum in a county that has alternated between parties. Independent Yeh Chu-lin, a former Magong mayor, draws some pan-blue votes but trails at 3.8%, while other registered candidates including independents Hsu Chih-fu and Chen Chin-chuan register minimal trader interest. July-August 2026 polling showed Chen Chen-chung ahead at roughly 30% to Wu's 21% and Yeh's 18%, reflecting the structural advantages for the KMT nominee in this multi-candidate field.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$9,463
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chen Chen-chung" at 74%, followed by "Wu Shu-chin" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Chen Chen-chung" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wu Shu-chin" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.