Skip to main content
icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place

Sandro Pimentel 45%

Sonia Godeiro 45%

Styvenson Valentim 45%

Samanda de Lula 44%

Polymarket
NEW

Sandro Pimentel 45%

Sonia Godeiro 45%

Styvenson Valentim 45%

Samanda de Lula 44%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$0 Vol.

37%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and other surveys from July and early August show a technical tie among top contenders Styvenson Valentim (Podemos), Samanda de Lula (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), and Rafael Motta (PDT) for the two open Senate seats, with Zenaide Maia (PSD) close behind and the rest scattered. Party conventions have now finalized a field of 13 candidates, sustaining the fragmentation. Trader consensus at roughly even odds across numerous names reflects this polling dispersion and the absence of a dominant frontrunner or decisive late-cycle event. Further surveys, coalition alignments, or campaign momentum before the October vote could widen gaps among the leaders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and other surveys from July and early August show a technical tie among top contenders Styvenson Valentim (Podemos), Samanda de Lula (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), and Rafael Motta (PDT) for the two open Senate seats, with Zenaide Maia (PSD) close behind and the rest scattered. Party conventions have now finalized a field of 13 candidates, sustaining the fragmentation. Trader consensus at roughly even odds across numerous names reflects this polling dispersion and the absence of a dominant frontrunner or decisive late-cycle event. Further surveys, coalition alignments, or campaign momentum before the October vote could widen gaps among the leaders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Related

icon for Will Linhares Jiboia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Linhares Jiboia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

45%
icon for Will Rigotto win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Rigotto win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

45%
icon for Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

44%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sandro Pimentel" at 45%, followed by "Sonia Godeiro" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Sandro Pimentel" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sonia Godeiro" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.