Recent SEC filings and pricing signals around a $1.75 trillion target have anchored trader expectations near the $1.5–2.5 trillion range for SpaceX’s first-day closing market cap, with the two leading outcomes nearly tied amid uncertainty over post-IPO demand. Starlink’s subscriber growth past nine million, record Falcon and Starship launch cadence, and spectrum acquisitions for direct-to-cell services support premium multiples, while the company’s AI infrastructure investments and merger activity add further upside potential. Roadshow momentum starting in early June and historical precedent for high-profile tech debuts create room for a pop above the indicated offer price, yet concerns around float size, lockup expirations, and macroeconomic sensitivity keep the 1.5–2.0T and 2.0–2.5T buckets closely contested.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$2,489,689 Vol.
$2,489,689 Vol.
<1,0T
1%
1,0T-1,5T
3%
$1,5T-$2,0T
38%
2,0T-2,5T
44%
2,5T-3,0T
13%
3,0T-3,5T
5%
3,5T+
1%
Tidak IPO sebelum 2028
<1%
$2,489,689 Vol.
$2,489,689 Vol.
<1,0T
$116,330 Vol.
1%
1,0T-1,5T
$154,648 Vol.
3%
$1,5T-$2,0T
$170,058 Vol.
38%
2,0T-2,5T
$197,864 Vol.
44%
2,5T-3,0T
$894,709 Vol.
13%
3,0T-3,5T
$535,025 Vol.
5%
3,5T+
$111,472 Vol.
1%
Tidak IPO sebelum 2028
$311,802 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent SEC filings and pricing signals around a $1.75 trillion target have anchored trader expectations near the $1.5–2.5 trillion range for SpaceX’s first-day closing market cap, with the two leading outcomes nearly tied amid uncertainty over post-IPO demand. Starlink’s subscriber growth past nine million, record Falcon and Starship launch cadence, and spectrum acquisitions for direct-to-cell services support premium multiples, while the company’s AI infrastructure investments and merger activity add further upside potential. Roadshow momentum starting in early June and historical precedent for high-profile tech debuts create room for a pop above the indicated offer price, yet concerns around float size, lockup expirations, and macroeconomic sensitivity keep the 1.5–2.0T and 2.0–2.5T buckets closely contested.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$2,489,689Pasar Dibuka
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent SEC filings and pricing signals around a $1.75 trillion target have anchored trader expectations near the $1.5–2.5 trillion range for SpaceX’s first-day closing market cap, with the two leading outcomes nearly tied amid uncertainty over post-IPO demand. Starlink’s subscriber growth past nine million, record Falcon and Starship launch cadence, and spectrum acquisitions for direct-to-cell services support premium multiples, while the company’s AI infrastructure investments and merger activity add further upside potential. Roadshow momentum starting in early June and historical precedent for high-profile tech debuts create room for a pop above the indicated offer price, yet concerns around float size, lockup expirations, and macroeconomic sensitivity keep the 1.5–2.0T and 2.0–2.5T buckets closely contested.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$2,489,689Pasar Dibuka
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent SEC filings and pricing signals around a $1.75 trillion target have anchored trader expectations near the $1.5–2.5 trillion range for SpaceX’s first-day closing market cap, with the two leading outcomes nearly tied amid uncertainty over post-IPO demand. Starlink’s subscriber growth past nine million, record Falcon and Starship launch cadence, and spectrum acquisitions for direct-to-cell services support premium multiples, while the company’s AI infrastructure investments and merger activity add further upside potential. Roadshow momentum starting in early June and historical precedent for high-profile tech debuts create room for a pop above the indicated offer price, yet concerns around float size, lockup expirations, and macroeconomic sensitivity keep the 1.5–2.0T and 2.0–2.5T buckets closely contested.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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