Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race among LIV Golf's Masters contingent, with Sergio Garcia, Cameron Smith, Charl Schwartzel, Dustin Johnson, Jon Rahm, Carlos Ortiz, Bryson DeChambeau, Tyrrell Hatton, Tom McKibbin, and Bubba Watson all priced at even 50% implied probabilities due to their comparable Augusta National course history and credentials as past champions or strong major performers. DeChambeau's recent dominance, including back-to-back LIV victories highlighted by a playoff win over Rahm in South Africa last month, bolsters his standing alongside Rahm's season-long money list lead, yet Garcia's resurgence to third in LIV power rankings and Smith's elite putting on Augusta's greens keep the field bunched. No injuries or withdrawals have emerged in final preparations, underscoring the even dynamics ahead of Thursday's opening round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCameron Smith 49%
Dustin Johnson 49%
Bryson DeChambeau 49%
Jon Rahm 48%
Cameron Smith
49%
Dustin Johnson
49%
Bryson DeChambeau
49%
Jon Rahm
48%
Tyrrell Hatton
48%
Bubba Watson
47%
Tom McKibbin
45%
Charl Schwartzel
44%
Carlos Ortiz
44%
Sergio Garcia
39%
Cameron Smith 49%
Dustin Johnson 49%
Bryson DeChambeau 49%
Jon Rahm 48%
Cameron Smith
49%
Dustin Johnson
49%
Bryson DeChambeau
49%
Jon Rahm
48%
Tyrrell Hatton
48%
Bubba Watson
47%
Tom McKibbin
45%
Charl Schwartzel
44%
Carlos Ortiz
44%
Sergio Garcia
39%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 4. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a LIV leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 4. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a LIV leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race among LIV Golf's Masters contingent, with Sergio Garcia, Cameron Smith, Charl Schwartzel, Dustin Johnson, Jon Rahm, Carlos Ortiz, Bryson DeChambeau, Tyrrell Hatton, Tom McKibbin, and Bubba Watson all priced at even 50% implied probabilities due to their comparable Augusta National course history and credentials as past champions or strong major performers. DeChambeau's recent dominance, including back-to-back LIV victories highlighted by a playoff win over Rahm in South Africa last month, bolsters his standing alongside Rahm's season-long money list lead, yet Garcia's resurgence to third in LIV power rankings and Smith's elite putting on Augusta's greens keep the field bunched. No injuries or withdrawals have emerged in final preparations, underscoring the even dynamics ahead of Thursday's opening round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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