President Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV for criticizing the Iran war, coupled with press gaggles on April 11-12 addressing NATO, Fed Chair Powell, and tax policies, have traders anticipating recurrent rhetorical flourishes in ongoing White House interactions through April 19. Phrases like time estimates ("two weeks," "four to six") and culture-war terms ("transgender") already appeared in early-week remarks, boosting their implied probabilities near certainty, while staples such as "Make America Great Again" reflect his consistent rally-style addresses amid the conflict. No major speeches or trips are scheduled, but confirmed press rotations and potential Oval Office updates on Iran negotiations or Senate votes could introduce insults ("sucker," "loser") or policy boasts, sustaining a competitive field for mid-range outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$130,961 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
Make America Great Again
72%
Epic Fury
55%
Ass
43%
Sucker / Loser
59%
Barack Hussein Obama
59%
Hezbollah
43%
Christmas
25%
Boy oh boy
55%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
8%
AOC
21%
Losing MAGA
52%
Jesus
49%
Six Seven
100%
Peanut
23%
Central Casting
54%
Regarded
54%
Crypto / Bitcoin
32%
No No No
59%
Gay for Palestine
10%
Nuke
38%
Melania
62%
Four to Six
78%
$130,961 Vol.
Make America Great Again
$5,662 Vol.
72%
Epic Fury
$3,020 Vol.
55%
Ass
$1,838 Vol.
43%
Sucker / Loser
$1,582 Vol.
59%
Barack Hussein Obama
$1,768 Vol.
59%
Hezbollah
$444 Vol.
43%
Christmas
$330 Vol.
25%
Boy oh boy
$3,007 Vol.
55%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
$5,822 Vol.
8%
AOC
$220 Vol.
21%
Losing MAGA
$3,182 Vol.
52%
Jesus
$6,999 Vol.
49%
Six Seven
$6,801 Vol.
100%
Peanut
$305 Vol.
23%
Central Casting
$14 Vol.
54%
Regarded
$216 Vol.
54%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$3,925 Vol.
32%
No No No
$386 Vol.
59%
Gay for Palestine
$485 Vol.
10%
Nuke
$1,789 Vol.
38%
Melania
$4,259 Vol.
62%
Four to Six
$41 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV for criticizing the Iran war, coupled with press gaggles on April 11-12 addressing NATO, Fed Chair Powell, and tax policies, have traders anticipating recurrent rhetorical flourishes in ongoing White House interactions through April 19. Phrases like time estimates ("two weeks," "four to six") and culture-war terms ("transgender") already appeared in early-week remarks, boosting their implied probabilities near certainty, while staples such as "Make America Great Again" reflect his consistent rally-style addresses amid the conflict. No major speeches or trips are scheduled, but confirmed press rotations and potential Oval Office updates on Iran negotiations or Senate votes could introduce insults ("sucker," "loser") or policy boasts, sustaining a competitive field for mid-range outcomes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$130,961End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV for criticizing the Iran war, coupled with press gaggles on April 11-12 addressing NATO, Fed Chair Powell, and tax policies, have traders anticipating recurrent rhetorical flourishes in ongoing White House interactions through April 19. Phrases like time estimates ("two weeks," "four to six") and culture-war terms ("transgender") already appeared in early-week remarks, boosting their implied probabilities near certainty, while staples such as "Make America Great Again" reflect his consistent rally-style addresses amid the conflict. No major speeches or trips are scheduled, but confirmed press rotations and potential Oval Office updates on Iran negotiations or Senate votes could introduce insults ("sucker," "loser") or policy boasts, sustaining a competitive field for mid-range outcomes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$130,961End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV for criticizing the Iran war, coupled with press gaggles on April 11-12 addressing NATO, Fed Chair Powell, and tax policies, have traders anticipating recurrent rhetorical flourishes in ongoing White House interactions through April 19. Phrases like time estimates ("two weeks," "four to six") and culture-war terms ("transgender") already appeared in early-week remarks, boosting their implied probabilities near certainty, while staples such as "Make America Great Again" reflect his consistent rally-style addresses amid the conflict. No major speeches or trips are scheduled, but confirmed press rotations and potential Oval Office updates on Iran negotiations or Senate votes could introduce insults ("sucker," "loser") or policy boasts, sustaining a competitive field for mid-range outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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