Market icon
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during Arizona TPUSA event on April 17?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during Arizona TPUSA event on April 17?

NEW
Apr 17, 2026
Polymarket

$2,716 Vol.

Polymarket

Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times

$214 Vol.

35%

Sleepy / Biden / Obama 10+ times

$16 Vol.

69%

God 10+ times

$3 Vol.

33%

Charlie / Kirk 5+ times

$185 Vol.

59%

Beautiful 3+ times

$67 Vol.

72%

Hottest

$8 Vol.

54%

Make America Great Again

$1 Vol.

65%

TikTok

$130 Vol.

32%

Gay

$65 Vol.

28%

Eight Wars / Eighth War

$0 Vol.

42%

Moon / Astronaut

$0 Vol.

56%

Kamala

$192 Vol.

38%

Secret Service

$4 Vol.

23%

Christian

$96 Vol.

62%

Common sense

$0 Vol.

48%

No No No

$144 Vol.

54%

Woke

$2 Vol.

52%

Venezuela

$23 Vol.

37%

Lunatic / Lunacy

$0 Vol.

52%

Transgender

$0 Vol.

66%

Radical Left

$17 Vol.

74%

Pope

$11 Vol.

38%

Assassin / Assassinate

$22 Vol.

44%

Medal of Freedom

$0 Vol.

54%

Crypto / Bitcoin

$54 Vol.

17%

-No Qualifying Event-

$1,462 Vol.

3%

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. (See: https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump headlines a Turning Point USA "Build the Red Wall" rally on April 17 at Dream City Church in Phoenix, Arizona, alongside TPUSA CEO Erika Kirk—widow of founder Charlie Kirk, assassinated in September 2025—and Rep. Andy Biggs, aiming to mobilize voters and gather data ahead of 2026 midterms in the battleground state. Announced March 31, the event follows local reporting on TPUSA's grassroots efforts and comes amid fresh threats, including an Antifa flyer promoting confrontation with militias and tear gas. Traders weigh Trump's rally patterns—repetitive phrases like "no no no," nicknames for opponents such as "Sleepy Joe," and likely tributes to Kirk—against recent speeches emphasizing economic affordability, no-tax-on-tips policies, and foreign policy like Iran tensions, with security heightened for the noon PT remarks.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. (See: https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,716
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 5:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. (See: https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. (See: https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump headlines a Turning Point USA "Build the Red Wall" rally on April 17 at Dream City Church in Phoenix, Arizona, alongside TPUSA CEO Erika Kirk—widow of founder Charlie Kirk, assassinated in September 2025—and Rep. Andy Biggs, aiming to mobilize voters and gather data ahead of 2026 midterms in the battleground state. Announced March 31, the event follows local reporting on TPUSA's grassroots efforts and comes amid fresh threats, including an Antifa flyer promoting confrontation with militias and tear gas. Traders weigh Trump's rally patterns—repetitive phrases like "no no no," nicknames for opponents such as "Sleepy Joe," and likely tributes to Kirk—against recent speeches emphasizing economic affordability, no-tax-on-tips policies, and foreign policy like Iran tensions, with security heightened for the noon PT remarks.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. (See: https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,716
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 5:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. (See: https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during Arizona TPUSA event on April 17? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Radical Left" at 74%, followed by "Beautiful 3+ times" at 72%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Trump say during Arizona TPUSA event on April 17? " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Trump say during Arizona TPUSA event on April 17? ," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during Arizona TPUSA event on April 17? " is "Radical Left" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Beautiful 3+ times" at 72%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during Arizona TPUSA event on April 17? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.