US-Iran diplomatic engagement continues through mediated channels, with Pakistan and Oman facilitating indirect and direct talks focused on ending conflict, lifting blockades, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and addressing Iran's nuclear program in phased negotiations. As of mid-June 2026, reports indicate a memorandum of understanding has been reached to launch a new round of formal talks after initial framework elements, following stalled April Islamabad sessions and May proposals where the US expressed dissatisfaction over enrichment pauses and sanctions relief sequencing. Trader sentiment reflects these incremental diplomatic steps amid an extended ceasefire, though persistent gaps on nuclear limits and verification keep near-term high-level meeting probabilities sensitive to any verified resumption announcements or renewed tensions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$58,293,412 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 15
No
April 16
No
April 17
No
April 18
No
April 19
No
April 20
No
April 21
No
April 22
No
April 23
No
April 24
No
April 25
No
April 26
No
April 27
No
April 28
No
April 29
No
April 30
No
May 5
No
May 15
No
May 22
No
May 28
No
May 31
No
June 3
No
June 7
No
June 10
No
June 13
No
June 14
No
June 15
No
June 16
No
June 17
No
June 18
No
June 19
No
June 21
Yes
June 30
Yes
July 31
Yes
$58,293,412 Vol.
April 15
$74,657 Vol.
No
April 16
$168,549 Vol.
No
April 17
$251,679 Vol.
No
April 18
$1,200,364 Vol.
No
April 19
$442,186 Vol.
No
April 20
$1,551,804 Vol.
No
April 21
$2,280,750 Vol.
No
April 22
$2,800,626 Vol.
No
April 23
$1,126,160 Vol.
No
April 24
$1,466,057 Vol.
No
April 25
$1,594,750 Vol.
No
April 26
$1,986,479 Vol.
No
April 27
$2,129,204 Vol.
No
April 28
$1,840,002 Vol.
No
April 29
$1,415,574 Vol.
No
April 30
$5,536,436 Vol.
No
May 5
$3,382,145 Vol.
No
May 15
$4,312,007 Vol.
No
May 22
$240,775 Vol.
No
May 28
$149,051 Vol.
No
May 31
$4,743,472 Vol.
No
June 3
$238,424 Vol.
No
June 7
$427,622 Vol.
No
June 10
$520,560 Vol.
No
June 13
$119,048 Vol.
No
June 14
$203,053 Vol.
No
June 15
$2,614,536 Vol.
No
June 16
$608,651 Vol.
No
June 17
$409,385 Vol.
No
June 18
$493,913 Vol.
No
June 19
$2,281,181 Vol.
No
June 21
$3,242,108 Vol.
Yes
June 30
$6,999,918 Vol.
Yes
July 31
$1,442,283 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran diplomatic engagement continues through mediated channels, with Pakistan and Oman facilitating indirect and direct talks focused on ending conflict, lifting blockades, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and addressing Iran's nuclear program in phased negotiations. As of mid-June 2026, reports indicate a memorandum of understanding has been reached to launch a new round of formal talks after initial framework elements, following stalled April Islamabad sessions and May proposals where the US expressed dissatisfaction over enrichment pauses and sanctions relief sequencing. Trader sentiment reflects these incremental diplomatic steps amid an extended ceasefire, though persistent gaps on nuclear limits and verification keep near-term high-level meeting probabilities sensitive to any verified resumption announcements or renewed tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$58,293,412End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran diplomatic engagement continues through mediated channels, with Pakistan and Oman facilitating indirect and direct talks focused on ending conflict, lifting blockades, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and addressing Iran's nuclear program in phased negotiations. As of mid-June 2026, reports indicate a memorandum of understanding has been reached to launch a new round of formal talks after initial framework elements, following stalled April Islamabad sessions and May proposals where the US expressed dissatisfaction over enrichment pauses and sanctions relief sequencing. Trader sentiment reflects these incremental diplomatic steps amid an extended ceasefire, though persistent gaps on nuclear limits and verification keep near-term high-level meeting probabilities sensitive to any verified resumption announcements or renewed tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$58,293,412End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
US-Iran diplomatic engagement continues through mediated channels, with Pakistan and Oman facilitating indirect and direct talks focused on ending conflict, lifting blockades, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and addressing Iran's nuclear program in phased negotiations. As of mid-June 2026, reports indicate a memorandum of understanding has been reached to launch a new round of formal talks after initial framework elements, following stalled April Islamabad sessions and May proposals where the US expressed dissatisfaction over enrichment pauses and sanctions relief sequencing. Trader sentiment reflects these incremental diplomatic steps amid an extended ceasefire, though persistent gaps on nuclear limits and verification keep near-term high-level meeting probabilities sensitive to any verified resumption announcements or renewed tensions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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