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Keir predictions & odds

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Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

66%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$193K today

$301K Liq.

672

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

91%

Up

$2.3K Vol.

$727 Liq.

4

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Who will Trump talk to in April?

100%

Ursula von der Leyen

$1M Vol.

$496K today

$86.7K Liq.

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

94%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$6M Vol.

$83.5K today

$572K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump say during bilateral events with King Charles?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with King Charles?

17%

Iran

$380K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

57

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

40%

Megyn Kelly

$345K Vol.

$77.1K Liq.

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

83%

Barack Obama

$62.1K Vol.

$58.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump name in April?

Who will Trump name in April?

19%

Leavitt

$115K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

5

Who will Trump meet with in April?

Who will Trump meet with in April?

3%

Elon Musk

$138K Vol.

$38.9K Liq.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

94%

Xi Jinping

$372K Vol.

$217K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

87%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$461 Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

17%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

$3.9K Vol.

$66.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

12%

$1.9K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

96%

300+

$22.1K Vol.

$50.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

74%

Not revealed in 2026

$12.3K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

89%

300+

$2.1K Vol.

$34.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

2%

US Confirms Aliens Exist

$220K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

65%

1600+

$15.7K Vol.

$68.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

84%

500+

$4.8K Vol.

$30.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 days

Zelenskyy # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

68%

60-79

$8.7K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Keir.

Polymarket currently hosts 121 active markets for Keir that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 66% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Keir predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.