Recent breakthroughs in mediated talks, including a proposed memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, have driven near-certain trader consensus on a nuclear-related agreement by June 30. President Trump’s public statements on an imminent framework—covering ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions adjustments, and follow-on nuclear negotiations—combined with reports of finalized draft texts and Pakistani mediation have aligned with rapid diplomatic momentum following earlier conflict and protests. This reflects trader assessments of primary-source developments signaling swift progress toward verifiable limits on enrichment and related commitments. Even at such elevated levels, late-stage disputes over enrichment duration, IAEA verification protocols, or unilateral actions by third parties could still alter resolution before the deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAcordo nuclear EUA-Irã até 30 de junho?
Acordo nuclear EUA-Irã até 30 de junho?
Sim
$11,324,069 Vol.
$11,324,069 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$11,324,069 Vol.
$11,324,069 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent breakthroughs in mediated talks, including a proposed memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, have driven near-certain trader consensus on a nuclear-related agreement by June 30. President Trump’s public statements on an imminent framework—covering ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions adjustments, and follow-on nuclear negotiations—combined with reports of finalized draft texts and Pakistani mediation have aligned with rapid diplomatic momentum following earlier conflict and protests. This reflects trader assessments of primary-source developments signaling swift progress toward verifiable limits on enrichment and related commitments. Even at such elevated levels, late-stage disputes over enrichment duration, IAEA verification protocols, or unilateral actions by third parties could still alter resolution before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$11,324,069Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent breakthroughs in mediated talks, including a proposed memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, have driven near-certain trader consensus on a nuclear-related agreement by June 30. President Trump’s public statements on an imminent framework—covering ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions adjustments, and follow-on nuclear negotiations—combined with reports of finalized draft texts and Pakistani mediation have aligned with rapid diplomatic momentum following earlier conflict and protests. This reflects trader assessments of primary-source developments signaling swift progress toward verifiable limits on enrichment and related commitments. Even at such elevated levels, late-stage disputes over enrichment duration, IAEA verification protocols, or unilateral actions by third parties could still alter resolution before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$11,324,069Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Recent breakthroughs in mediated talks, including a proposed memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, have driven near-certain trader consensus on a nuclear-related agreement by June 30. President Trump’s public statements on an imminent framework—covering ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions adjustments, and follow-on nuclear negotiations—combined with reports of finalized draft texts and Pakistani mediation have aligned with rapid diplomatic momentum following earlier conflict and protests. This reflects trader assessments of primary-source developments signaling swift progress toward verifiable limits on enrichment and related commitments. Even at such elevated levels, late-stage disputes over enrichment duration, IAEA verification protocols, or unilateral actions by third parties could still alter resolution before the deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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