President Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18 posts per day throughout 2025, persists into April 2026 amid the ongoing Strait of Hormuz crisis with Iran, where his recent threats, ultimatums, and ceasefire announcements have fueled frequent updates. Trader consensus favors 100-119 posts (36%) for April 17-24, closely trailed by 80-99 (29.5%) and 120-139 (25%), reflecting historical patterns during executive time and evening bursts but uncertainty from his presidential schedule. The race stays tight due to variable posting tied to diplomatic developments; Iran de-escalation or talks progress could lower volume, while new foreign policy escalations, executive orders, or domestic announcements might push toward higher ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated100-119 34%
80-99 30%
120-139 25%
140-159 12%
$10,261 Vol.
$10,261 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
4%
80-99
30%
100-119
35%
120-139
25%
140-159
12%
160-179
9%
180-199
3%
200+
1%
100-119 34%
80-99 30%
120-139 25%
140-159 12%
$10,261 Vol.
$10,261 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
4%
80-99
30%
100-119
35%
120-139
25%
140-159
12%
160-179
9%
180-199
3%
200+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18 posts per day throughout 2025, persists into April 2026 amid the ongoing Strait of Hormuz crisis with Iran, where his recent threats, ultimatums, and ceasefire announcements have fueled frequent updates. Trader consensus favors 100-119 posts (36%) for April 17-24, closely trailed by 80-99 (29.5%) and 120-139 (25%), reflecting historical patterns during executive time and evening bursts but uncertainty from his presidential schedule. The race stays tight due to variable posting tied to diplomatic developments; Iran de-escalation or talks progress could lower volume, while new foreign policy escalations, executive orders, or domestic announcements might push toward higher ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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