Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Apr 10

Apr 14

Apr 17

Apr 10

Apr 14

Apr 17

260-279 21%

240-259 19%

280-299 19%

220-239 13%

Polymarket
NEW

$559,026 Vol.

260-279 21%

240-259 19%

280-299 19%

220-239 13%

Polymarket
NEW

$559,026 Vol.

<20

$10,837 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$6,381 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$6,946 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$31,969 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$37,608 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$19,516 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$25,779 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$21,045 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$17,539 Vol.

1%

180-199

$17,881 Vol.

2%

200-219

$11,403 Vol.

6%

220-239

$12,346 Vol.

13%

240-259

$22,618 Vol.

19%

260-279

$25,971 Vol.

21%

280-299

$23,391 Vol.

19%

300-319

$8,874 Vol.

11%

320-339

$9,044 Vol.

7%

340-359

$7,029 Vol.

3%

360-379

$7,490 Vol.

2%

380-399

$10,319 Vol.

1%

400-419

$12,142 Vol.

1%

420-439

$9,798 Vol.

1%

440-459

$11,685 Vol.

1%

460-479

$11,680 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$8,749 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$12,699 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$19,505 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$21,617 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$53,386 Vol.

<1%

580+

$63,780 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10 to 17, with 260-279 leading at 20.5% implied probability, directly mirroring his verified 260-279 output from the prior week (March 27-April 3). This reflects his steady 30-40 daily posting rhythm, fueled by consistent engagement on Tesla inventory alerts, AI model updates like Grok variants, and cultural commentary amid political discourse. Closely matched frontrunners highlight competitive dynamics, where swings could stem from unexpected viral moments, SpaceX teases, or controversy spikes—common in Musk's high-volume social media presence—though no confirmed events like Tesla's April 22 earnings fall in-period, keeping uncertainty balanced across the mid-200s buckets.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$559,026
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10 to 17, with 260-279 leading at 20.5% implied probability, directly mirroring his verified 260-279 output from the prior week (March 27-April 3). This reflects his steady 30-40 daily posting rhythm, fueled by consistent engagement on Tesla inventory alerts, AI model updates like Grok variants, and cultural commentary amid political discourse. Closely matched frontrunners highlight competitive dynamics, where swings could stem from unexpected viral moments, SpaceX teases, or controversy spikes—common in Musk's high-volume social media presence—though no confirmed events like Tesla's April 22 earnings fall in-period, keeping uncertainty balanced across the mid-200s buckets.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$559,026
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "260-279" at 21%, followed by "240-259" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?" has generated $559K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?" is "260-279" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "240-259" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.