Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Apr 3

Apr 7

Apr 10

Apr 3

Apr 7

Apr 10

260-279 14%

240-259 13%

220-239 12%

280-299 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$316,391 Vol.

260-279 14%

240-259 13%

220-239 12%

280-299 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$316,391 Vol.

<20

$34,736 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$15,659 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$24,089 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$23,272 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$43,748 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$7,330 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$9,119 Vol.

1%

140-159

$7,798 Vol.

1%

160-179

$7,497 Vol.

2%

180-199

$5,966 Vol.

4%

200-219

$5,516 Vol.

9%

220-239

$9,777 Vol.

12%

240-259

$10,889 Vol.

13%

260-279

$12,503 Vol.

14%

280-299

$5,949 Vol.

12%

300-319

$5,907 Vol.

12%

320-339

$4,785 Vol.

8%

340-359

$3,748 Vol.

7%

360-379

$3,112 Vol.

6%

380-399

$5,152 Vol.

4%

400-419

$7,839 Vol.

3%

420-439

$4,708 Vol.

2%

440-459

$2,808 Vol.

1%

460-479

$6,110 Vol.

1%

480-499

$5,558 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$10,839 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$7,018 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$4,073 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$4,984 Vol.

<1%

580+

$20,636 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 240-279 tweets for Elon Musk's X posting from April 3-10, with those bins tightly matched at 12.5% each, mirroring late March's variable pace of 220-280 posts per week amid steady 30-40 daily averages spiked by bursts like 52 posts on March 29-30. High variance—quiet days under 20 versus 50+ frenzies on AI, Tesla, or memes—fuels the deadlock, as evidenced by resolved markets like March 20-27 (260ish) and projections for March 27-April 3 (~227). Absent confirmed catalysts like earnings calls or Starship launches next week, crowdsourced capital anchors to 38-week historical patterns, pricing modest swings from viral moments or platform tweaks.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$316,391
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 240-279 tweets for Elon Musk's X posting from April 3-10, with those bins tightly matched at 12.5% each, mirroring late March's variable pace of 220-280 posts per week amid steady 30-40 daily averages spiked by bursts like 52 posts on March 29-30. High variance—quiet days under 20 versus 50+ frenzies on AI, Tesla, or memes—fuels the deadlock, as evidenced by resolved markets like March 20-27 (260ish) and projections for March 27-April 3 (~227). Absent confirmed catalysts like earnings calls or Starship launches next week, crowdsourced capital anchors to 38-week historical patterns, pricing modest swings from viral moments or platform tweaks.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$316,391
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "260-279" at 14%, followed by "240-259" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" has generated $316.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" is "260-279" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "240-259" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.